placestats

Old-age spending

Public spending on old-age benefits

Link with national income+0.17largely independent of national income
Links that hold up12of 155 pairs tested
Unit% of GDPhigher is neither better nor worse
SourceOECDCC BY 4.0 (OECD terms and conditions)
What this measures. Public pensions and other benefits for older people. It mostly reflects how old a country is and how its pensions are set up. That is why its strongest link is with the share of people aged 65 and over.

How it has moved

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Every country, every year

One row per country and one column per year, sorted by the most recent value. Hover over any cell to see the figure. The country names link to each country’s page.

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Links that hold up

r is how closely two measures rise and fall together across countries, from −1 (opposite) to +1 (in step), where 0 means no link. These pairs are ranked by the link after adjusting for national income, which means comparing countries with the same GDP per person. Each pair passed three checks. The link held after that adjustment. It was unlikely to be chance (q of 0.05 or less), even allowing for countries in the same region being alike and for the many pairs tested. And the two are not just two measures of the same thing. Very small q values are written in short form: 8.0e-5 means 0.000080.

MeasureBefore adjustingAfter adjustingqCountriesTracks income?
Old-age spending and Male labor participationWhere Old-age spending is higher, Male labor participation tends to be lower: a strong link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Male labor participation by country-0.77-0.760.00142independent
Old-age spending and Government expenseWhere Old-age spending is higher, Government expense tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Government expense by country+0.68+0.690.01642moderate
Old-age spending and Population 65+Where Old-age spending is higher, Population 65+ tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Population 65+ by country+0.69+0.680.01542high
Old-age spending and Median ageWhere Old-age spending is higher, Median age tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Median age by country+0.66+0.640.03142proxy
Old-age spending and PhysiciansWhere Old-age spending is higher, Physicians tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Physicians by country+0.57+0.550.00442proxy
Old-age spending and One-person householdsWhere Old-age spending is higher, One-person households tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. One-person households by country+0.52+0.500.00934high
Old-age spending and Female labor participationWhere Old-age spending is higher, Female labor participation tends to be lower: a moderate link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Female labor participation by country-0.36-0.460.04042independent
Old-age spending and Hours workedWhere Old-age spending is higher, Hours worked tends to be lower: a moderate link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Hours worked by country-0.33-0.450.03536high
Old-age spending and Government spending per capitaWhere Old-age spending is higher, Government spending per capita tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Government spending per capita by country+0.29+0.450.02341proxy
Old-age spending and Health scoreWhere Old-age spending is higher, Health score tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Health score by country+0.42+0.380.04542moderate
Old-age spending and Adult obesityWhere Old-age spending is higher, Adult obesity tends to be lower: a weak link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Adult obesity by country-0.41-0.380.04642moderate
Old-age spending and Protected landWhere Old-age spending is higher, Protected land tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only countries with similar income are compared. Protected land by country+0.27+0.280.03642independent

Links that don’t count as findings

These go together strongly, but they are built from the same numbers or measure the same thing. So they are bound to match, or their match shows that the measures agree, not something about the world.

MeasureBefore adjustingAfter adjustingqCountriesTracks income?
Old-age spending and Public social spendingNot an independent finding: one of these indices is built partly from the other, so their agreement is just arithmetic. Public social spending by country+0.84+0.870.00142moderate

How much the other measures account for

The 71 most widely reported measures boil down to a few broad patterns. This table shows how much of the differences between countries on this measure those patterns account for, adding one pattern at a time. The patterns are rebuilt without this measure, and without anything built from the same numbers or measuring the same thing. So it never predicts itself under another name. The figures use the 41 countries reporting all of them, and 71 candidate measures.

This shows how much it moves with the others. It does not explain anything. Measures that move together end up on the same pattern whether or not anything connects them. And the countries here are the best-documented ones. A high figure means this measure is largely predictable from the others, not that they produce it.
Patterns usedShare of this measure accounted forAdded by this pattern
111%—
227%+16%
327%+0%
430%+2%
533%+3%
643%+10%

Every other pair

Everything else this measure was tested against, apart from the links that hold up and the pairs built from the same numbers. Sorted by the link after adjusting. Search by name; every column sorts. A small adjusted figure is a result too. It says the two do not move together once income is set aside.

142 of 142
Old-age spending and RedistributionComparing only countries with similar income it is still +0.66, but that could easily be chance once we allow for countries in the same region being alike. Redistribution by country+0.60+0.660.08540moderate
Old-age spending and Informal employmentComparing only countries with similar income it is still -0.58, but that could easily be chance once we allow for countries in the same region being alike. Informal employment by country-0.55-0.580.25836proxy
Old-age spending and Retirement age, menComparing only countries with similar income it is still -0.56, but that could easily be chance once we allow for countries in the same region being alike. Retirement age, men by country-0.54-0.560.10539independent
Old-age spending and Retirement age, womenComparing only countries with similar income it is still -0.54, but that could easily be chance once we allow for countries in the same region being alike. Retirement age, women by country-0.53-0.540.11439independent
Old-age spending and Population 0-14Comparing only countries with similar income it is still -0.51, but that could easily be chance once we allow for countries in the same region being alike. Population 0-14 by country-0.54-0.510.07442proxy
Old-age spending and Women's age at first marriageCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Women's age at first marriage by country+0.42+0.500.10539moderate
Old-age spending and Food insecurityCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Food insecurity by country-0.44-0.480.08941proxy
Old-age spending and Slum share of urban populationCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Slum share of urban population by country-0.49-0.470.16941high
Old-age spending and Under-5 mortalityCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Under-5 mortality by country-0.45-0.460.08242proxy
Old-age spending and Infant mortalityCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Infant mortality by country-0.45-0.450.07942proxy
Old-age spending and Birth rateCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Birth rate by country-0.47-0.450.09742proxy
Old-age spending and Population growthCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Population growth by country-0.36-0.430.09142moderate
Old-age spending and Tobacco useCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Tobacco use by country+0.40+0.410.13742independent
Old-age spending and GDP growthCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. GDP growth by country-0.38-0.400.13542moderate
Old-age spending and Birth registrationCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Birth registration by country+0.41+0.390.05741proxy
Old-age spending and Fixed broadbandCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Fixed broadband by country+0.40+0.380.16942proxy
Old-age spending and Pre-trial detainee shareCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Pre-trial detainee share by country-0.34-0.380.24141independent
Old-age spending and Gender Inequality IndexCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Gender Inequality Index by country-0.37-0.380.19342proxy
Old-age spending and Market-income GiniCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Market-income Gini by country+0.37+0.380.07140moderate
Old-age spending and Government consumptionCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Government consumption by country+0.39+0.360.08842independent
Old-age spending and Electricity accessCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Electricity access by country+0.39+0.350.35442high
Old-age spending and Child stuntingCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Child stunting by country-0.38-0.350.27325proxy
Old-age spending and Tuberculosis incidenceCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Tuberculosis incidence by country-0.38-0.340.15242high
Old-age spending and Tax revenueCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Tax revenue by country+0.37+0.340.05541moderate
Old-age spending and Primary completionCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Primary completion by country+0.37+0.330.16341proxy
Old-age spending and Infrastructure scoreCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Infrastructure score by country+0.35+0.330.26142proxy
Old-age spending and Vulnerable employmentCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Vulnerable employment by country-0.35-0.320.16942proxy
Old-age spending and UrbanizationCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Urbanization by country-0.27-0.320.17942high
Old-age spending and Environment scoreCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Environment score by country+0.25+0.310.07042moderate
Old-age spending and Equality scoreCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Equality score by country+0.36+0.310.06541high
Old-age spending and Gini indexCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Gini index by country-0.36-0.310.07541moderate
Old-age spending and Inequality-adjusted HDICould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Inequality-adjusted HDI by country+0.32+0.310.15242proxy
Old-age spending and ResearchersCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Researchers by country+0.27+0.310.40340proxy
Old-age spending and UnemploymentCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Unemployment by country+0.27+0.300.08242independent
Old-age spending and Employment in agricultureCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Employment in agriculture by country-0.33-0.300.12642proxy
Old-age spending and Active labour market spendingCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Active labour market spending by country+0.34+0.300.06942moderate
Old-age spending and Internet usersAlmost no link either way. Internet users by country-0.04-0.290.29942proxy
Old-age spending and Homicide rateCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Homicide rate by country-0.34-0.290.09242moderate
Old-age spending and Maternal mortalityCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Maternal mortality by country-0.33-0.290.15742proxy
Old-age spending and Aid givenAlmost no link either way. Aid given by country+0.08+0.290.20437high
Old-age spending and Basic sanitationCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Basic sanitation by country+0.33+0.290.20742high
Old-age spending and Pupil-teacher ratioCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Pupil-teacher ratio by country-0.35-0.290.05940proxy
Old-age spending and Women in a unionCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Women in a union by country+0.30+0.280.08742moderate
Old-age spending and Women's political empowermentCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Women's political empowerment by country+0.32+0.280.21942moderate
Old-age spending and Health spendingCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Health spending by country+0.32+0.270.36742independent
Old-age spending and UndernourishmentCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Undernourishment by country-0.33-0.270.27441proxy
Old-age spending and Road traffic deathsCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Road traffic deaths by country-0.32-0.270.30442high
Old-age spending and CO2 per capitaCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. CO2 per capita by country-0.14-0.270.49142proxy
Old-age spending and Unemployment benefit spendingCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Unemployment benefit spending by country+0.25+0.270.20339moderate
Old-age spending and Armed conflict presentCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Armed conflict present by country-0.32-0.270.22742moderate
Old-age spending and Forest areaCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Forest area by country+0.19+0.260.15642independent
Old-age spending and Adolescent fertilityCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Adolescent fertility by country-0.30-0.260.25842proxy
Old-age spending and Tertiary enrollmentCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Tertiary enrollment by country+0.25+0.250.46342high
Old-age spending and Family benefits spendingCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Family benefits spending by country+0.28+0.240.11442independent
Old-age spending and Gender wage gapCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Gender wage gap by country-0.24-0.240.26438independent
Old-age spending and Youth not in work or studyCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Youth not in work or study by country-0.30-0.240.19641high
Old-age spending and Fertility rateCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Fertility rate by country-0.24-0.210.39642proxy
Old-age spending and Self-reported happinessCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Self-reported happiness by country-0.11-0.200.24640moderate
Old-age spending and Age at childbearingCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Age at childbearing by country+0.27+0.200.60142moderate
Old-age spending and Voice and accountabilityCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Voice and accountability by country+0.27+0.200.43142moderate
Old-age spending and Primary enrollmentCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Primary enrollment by country+0.14+0.200.26242independent
Old-age spending and Alcohol consumptionCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Alcohol consumption by country+0.25+0.200.20742moderate
Old-age spending and HDICould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. HDI by country+0.26+0.200.51642proxy
Old-age spending and Single-parent householdsCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Single-parent households by country-0.26-0.200.16034independent
Old-age spending and Migrant share of populationAlmost no link either way. Migrant share of population by country-0.02-0.190.30142high
Old-age spending and Christian shareCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Christian share by country+0.13+0.180.39242independent
Old-age spending and Corporate tax rateCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Corporate tax rate by country+0.16+0.170.71140moderate
Old-age spending and InflationCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Inflation by country-0.19-0.160.57942independent
Old-age spending and Extreme poverty rateCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Extreme poverty rate by country-0.23-0.160.06641proxy
Old-age spending and Political rights (FH)Could easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Political rights (FH) by country-0.22-0.160.34142moderate
Old-age spending and PISA mathsCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. PISA maths by country+0.24+0.150.60042high
Old-age spending and Civil liberties (FH)Could easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Civil liberties (FH) by country-0.22-0.150.47342moderate
Old-age spending and Skilled birth attendanceCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Skilled birth attendance by country+0.19+0.150.11235high
Old-age spending and Conflict deathsCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Conflict deaths by country-0.22-0.150.11642moderate
Old-age spending and Political civil libertiesCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Political civil liberties by country+0.21+0.150.55542moderate
Old-age spending and Hospital bedsCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Hospital beds by country+0.16+0.150.52242high
Old-age spending and Governance scoreCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Governance score by country+0.22+0.140.56142moderate
Old-age spending and Gender Development IndexCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Gender Development Index by country+0.17+0.140.61142high
Old-age spending and Free and fair electionsCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Free and fair elections by country+0.21+0.140.70042high
Old-age spending and PISA scienceCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. PISA science by country+0.21+0.130.65442high
Old-age spending and Civil society participationCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Civil society participation by country+0.21+0.130.61742independent
Old-age spending and Life expectancyCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Life expectancy by country+0.21+0.130.74942proxy
Old-age spending and Basic water accessCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Basic water access by country+0.17+0.130.34242proxy
Old-age spending and Rule of lawCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Rule of law by country+0.22+0.130.53142high
Old-age spending and Divorce rate (UN)Could easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Divorce rate (UN) by country+0.13+0.120.42939independent
Old-age spending and Political corruptionCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Political corruption by country-0.21-0.120.62742high
Old-age spending and Religious attendanceCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Religious attendance by country-0.17-0.120.34240high
Old-age spending and Freedom of associationCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Freedom of association by country+0.18+0.120.46542moderate
Old-age spending and Expected schoolingCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Expected schooling by country+0.17+0.120.59442proxy
Old-age spending and Health coverage indexAlmost no link either way. Health coverage index by country+0.01-0.120.71942proxy
Old-age spending and Suicide rateCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Suicide rate by country+0.17+0.110.67642independent
Old-age spending and Recycling rateAlmost no link either way. Recycling rate by country+0.07+0.110.81735moderate
Old-age spending and Trade opennessAlmost no link either way. Trade openness by country+0.01-0.100.75042moderate
Old-age spending and Mobile subscriptionsCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Mobile subscriptions by country-0.12-0.100.56442moderate
Old-age spending and Agricultural landCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Agricultural land by country+0.11+0.100.66842independent
Old-age spending and Electoral democracyCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Electoral democracy by country+0.17+0.090.76142moderate
Old-age spending and Divorce rateAlmost no link either way. Divorce rate by country-0.10-0.090.55641independent
Old-age spending and Labour scoreCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Labour score by country+0.19+0.090.70242high
Old-age spending and Government effectivenessAlmost no link either way. Government effectiveness by country+0.10-0.090.75542proxy
Old-age spending and Premature NCD mortalityAlmost no link either way. Premature NCD mortality by country+0.01+0.080.83842high
Old-age spending and Refugees originatingCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Refugees originating by country-0.12-0.080.70442moderate
Old-age spending and Liberal democracyCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Liberal democracy by country+0.16+0.080.78642moderate
Old-age spending and Participatory democracyCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Participatory democracy by country+0.16+0.080.79242moderate
Old-age spending and Marriage rate (UN)Almost no link either way. Marriage rate (UN) by country-0.05-0.080.76341independent
Old-age spending and Children with one parentAlmost no link either way. Children with one parent by country-0.09-0.080.70136independent
Old-age spending and Religion very importantCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Religion very important by country-0.14-0.080.56340high
Old-age spending and Regulatory qualityAlmost no link either way. Regulatory quality by country+0.10-0.070.76842proxy
Old-age spending and FDI inflowsAlmost no link either way. FDI inflows by country+0.00+0.070.49142independent
Old-age spending and Freedom of expressionCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Freedom of expression by country+0.13+0.070.81842moderate
Old-age spending and HIV prevalenceCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. HIV prevalence by country-0.15-0.060.78732moderate
Old-age spending and Muslim shareAlmost no link either way. Muslim share by country-0.07-0.060.73642independent
Old-age spending and Out-of-pocket health spendingCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Out-of-pocket health spending by country-0.15-0.060.71642moderate
Old-age spending and Education scoreCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Education score by country+0.12+0.050.76042proxy
Old-age spending and Regime typeCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Regime type by country+0.13+0.050.86142moderate
Old-age spending and Life satisfactionAlmost no link either way. Life satisfaction by country+0.05-0.050.78542proxy
Old-age spending and Gender scoreAlmost no link either way. Gender score by country+0.07+0.050.85942moderate
Old-age spending and Religiously unaffiliatedAlmost no link either way. Religiously unaffiliated by country+0.01-0.050.83042moderate
Old-age spending and Women ministersAlmost no link either way. Women ministers by country+0.08+0.050.73542independent
Old-age spending and DTP3 immunisationCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. DTP3 immunisation by country+0.11+0.050.45442moderate
Old-age spending and Out of school, primaryAlmost no link either way. Out of school, primary by country-0.09-0.050.79342moderate
Old-age spending and PISA readingCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. PISA reading by country+0.15+0.040.89242high
Old-age spending and Mean years of schoolingAlmost no link either way. Mean years of schooling by country+0.08-0.040.75342proxy
Old-age spending and Corruption Perceptions IndexCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Corruption Perceptions Index by country+0.11-0.040.87442high
Old-age spending and Anaemia in womenAlmost no link either way. Anaemia in women by country-0.03+0.040.94342high
Old-age spending and Education spendingAlmost no link either way. Education spending by country+0.07+0.040.86542independent
Old-age spending and Marriage rateAlmost no link either way. Marriage rate by country-0.03-0.040.90041independent
Old-age spending and Trust in governmentAlmost no link either way. Trust in government by country+0.09-0.030.80342moderate
Old-age spending and Confidence in religious institutionsAlmost no link either way. Confidence in religious institutions by country-0.07-0.030.57640moderate
Old-age spending and Political stabilityAlmost no link either way. Political stability by country+0.07-0.030.87542moderate
Old-age spending and Secondary enrollmentAlmost no link either way. Secondary enrollment by country+0.07+0.020.87942high
Old-age spending and Wellbeing scoreCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Wellbeing score by country+0.11+0.020.93740high
Old-age spending and Interpersonal trustCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Interpersonal trust by country+0.12+0.010.93640high
Old-age spending and Compulsory schoolingAlmost no link either way. Compulsory schooling by country-0.04+0.010.97142moderate
Old-age spending and Military spendingAlmost no link either way. Military spending by country-0.02+0.010.97540independent
Old-age spending and Control of corruptionCould easily be chance once only countries with similar income are compared. Control of corruption by country+0.15+0.010.96942high
Old-age spending and Women in parliamentAlmost no link either way. Women in parliament by country+0.02+0.010.97542independent
Old-age spending and Women in managementAlmost no link either way. Women in management by country-0.04-0.010.95939moderate
Old-age spending and Births outside marriageAlmost no link either way. Births outside marriage by country+0.00+0.010.98740independent
Old-age spending and Public order spendingAlmost no link either way. Public order spending by country+0.01+0.010.98437high
Old-age spending and GDP per capita (PPP)One side of this pair is national income itself, the thing the other figures adjust for. Adjusting income for income leaves nothing, so there is no adjusted figure. The unadjusted link shows how closely the other measure follows income. GDP per capita (PPP) by country+0.03——42proxy
Old-age spending and GNI per capita (PPP)One side of this pair is national income itself, the thing the other figures adjust for. Adjusting income for income leaves nothing, so there is no adjusted figure. The unadjusted link shows how closely the other measure follows income. GNI per capita (PPP) by country+0.15——42proxy
Old-age spending and GDP per capita (market)One side of this pair is national income itself, the thing the other figures adjust for. Adjusting income for income leaves nothing, so there is no adjusted figure. The unadjusted link shows how closely the other measure follows income. GDP per capita (market) by country-0.04——42proxy

Source

OECD · via Our World in Data

CC BY 4.0 (OECD terms and conditions) · licence terms · updated annual, except the snapshots noted per indicator

OECD databases as named on each indicator: PISA, Social Expenditure Database (SOCX), Income Distribution Database, Development Assistance Committee statistics, Family Database, Government at a Glance, Corporate Tax Statistics, employment and environment statistics