Presidential votes cast, 2016
Every presidential vote counted in 2016. It is a count, so it mostly follows population size. It is also used to give bigger places more weight when that year's vote shares are combined.
Reported for3,113areas, in 50 states — none in AK, PR
Link to density0.87mostly reflects how urban a place is
Nearby places alike0.33Moran’s I: strongly, neighbouring places tend to be similar
Typecountcounts rise and fall together from size alone
How it has moved
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Every state, every year
Nothing to draw here: this measure has no state figures. Its publisher reports it for counties. This site does not add county numbers up into state figures, since a home-made figure could clash with one an agency publishes itself. The chart above covers the whole country, year by year.
Where it comes from
MIT Election Data and Science Lab · MIT county presidential returns
Every vote counted for president. When counties are combined, this number sets how much weight each gets in that year's vote share. Time period: from the 2016 presidential election; how a county votes changes slowly, so an election result is a fair stand-in for how it leans now, but it is not a direct measure of that.
Combining areas: added up across areas.
What it goes with
The strongest links that have a page of their own. Unadjusted is the link before adjusting for anything, from −1 (opposite) to +1 (in step). Adjusted compares places with the same population density, income and education levels, so those differences can’t explain the link. This list leaves out the 6 pairs built from the same numbers or the same model as this measure, since they are bound to match.
| Measure | Unadjusted | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|
| Presidential votes cast, 2016 and Share foreign-bornWhere Presidential votes cast, 2016 is higher, Share foreign-born tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Share foreign-born by US county | +0.49 | +0.36 |
| Presidential votes cast, 2016 and Orthodox Christian adherentsWhere Presidential votes cast, 2016 is higher, Orthodox Christian adherents tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Orthodox Christian adherents by US county | +0.51 | +0.33 |
| Presidential votes cast, 2016 and Share Asian, not HispanicWhere Presidential votes cast, 2016 is higher, Share Asian, not Hispanic tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Share Asian, not Hispanic by US county | +0.50 | +0.31 |
| Presidential votes cast, 2016 and Median gross rentLinked across counties, but mostly as both follow how urban, rich and educated a place is. Comparing only places with similar density, income and education, a weak link of +0.24 remains. Median gross rent by US county | +0.51 | +0.24 |
Population makeup
How this measure varies with the racial and ethnic makeup of counties. Every group is shown, whatever its rank. These are links across counties: they describe places, not people. They say nothing about any person’s risk or behaviour based on their race. Counties with a larger share of one group also differ in much else, such as income, segregation, region and history. The adjusted figure only accounts for density, income and education.
| Share of residents | Unadjusted | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|
| Presidential votes cast, 2016 and Share White, not HispanicWhere Presidential votes cast, 2016 is higher, Share White, not Hispanic tends to be lower: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Share White, not Hispanic by US county | -0.25 | -0.21 |
| Presidential votes cast, 2016 and Share Black, not HispanicCould easily be chance once only places with similar density, income and education are compared. Share Black, not Hispanic by US county | +0.02 | +0.03 |
| Presidential votes cast, 2016 and Share Hispanic or Latino, any raceWhere Presidential votes cast, 2016 is higher, Share Hispanic or Latino, any race tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Share Hispanic or Latino, any race by US county | +0.17 | +0.21 |
| Presidential votes cast, 2016 and Share Asian, not HispanicWhere Presidential votes cast, 2016 is higher, Share Asian, not Hispanic tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Share Asian, not Hispanic by US county | +0.50 | +0.31 |
| Presidential votes cast, 2016 and Share American Indian or Alaska Native, not HispanicCould easily be chance once only places with similar density, income and education are compared. Share American Indian or Alaska Native, not Hispanic by US county | -0.11 | +0.06 |
Highest and lowest, per 1,000 residents
Of 3,111 counties reporting it. This is a count, so it is ranked per 1,000 residents, not as published. Ranked by raw totals, it would just list the largest counties in the country. Its link to population is 0.87, so the raw order would match almost every other count here. The published totals are in the table on each place page.
Highest
- King County, TX — 841.27 (159 total)
- Blaine County, NE — 823.38 (317 total)
- Mineral County, CO — 816.02 (652 total)
- Petroleum County, MT — 802.99 (322 total)
- McMullen County, TX — 800.96 (499 total)
Lowest
- Chattahoochee County, GA — 151.40 (1,390 total)
- Starr County, TX — 178.40 (11,740 total)
- Hidalgo County, TX — 196.88 (173,440 total)
- Geary County, KS — 209.05 (7,504 total)
- Gaines County, TX — 210.92 (4,620 total)
The middle area reports 445.18. The middle half of counties falls between 395.25 and 497.79 (the 25th to 75th percentile).
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