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Median property tax bill and Share with a bachelor's degree or higher

Across 3,167 counties, Median property tax bill and Share with a bachelor's degree or higher have a link of +0.66, on a scale from −1 (opposite) to +1 (in step). But compare places with the same population density, income and education, and a weak link of +0.24 remains. Most of the first figure came from both measures following how urban, rich and educated a place is, not from a link with each other.

Mostly gone after adjusting

Every place, plotted

One dot for each place reporting both measures. Hover over or tap a dot to see its name and values. The thin line is the straight line that best fits the dots. The bold line, shown for counties, is the link after adjusting for density, income and education. A dot far from the lines is a place that does not follow the pattern.

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What each measure is

Median property tax bill

The yearly property tax bill, in dollars, of the middle home-owning household that pays one. Households with no bill are left out, so this is what payers pay, not the average across all owners.

Census ACS 5-year · ACS table B25103_001

Share with a bachelor's degree or higher

The percentage of adults aged 25 and over who have at least a bachelor's degree. It counts degrees people already have, not people who are in college now.

Census ACS 5-year · ACS table B15003_022…B15003_025 (4 cells), divided by population aged 25 and over

Highest and lowest

Where each measure is highest and lowest among the places reporting both (2023), with the other measure beside it. This is shown for every size of place where both are published. Metro-area values are added up from their counties. A measure that cannot be added up across counties, such as a middle value (median), has no metro figure. Counts are shown per 1,000 residents, since raw totals would only list the largest places. Cities and towns and ZIP codes are shown where the Census survey or the CDC publishes them; most other sources stop at the county. They are shown for places of 5,000 residents or more, and only where the survey’s margin of error is small enough for the figure to be usable. The CDC publishes its health estimates for cities in a version adjusted for age, so places with older or younger people can be compared fairly, but not for ZIP codes.

Counties

By median property tax bill

Median property tax billShare with a bachelor's degree or higher
Highest — 16 are at $10,000 or more; five shown.
Bergen County, NJ$10,000 or more52.6%
Essex County, NJ$10,000 or more37.9%
Hunterdon County, NJ$10,000 or more56.5%
Monmouth County, NJ$10,000 or more50.6%
Morris County, NJ$10,000 or more57.2%
Lowest — 19 are at $200 or less; five shown.
Northwest Arctic Borough, AK$200 or less12.4%
Copper River Census Area, AK$200 or less28.4%
Choctaw County, AL$200 or less13.9%
Yauco Municipio, PR$200 or less27.1%
Sabana Grande Municipio, PR$200 or less29.1%

By share with a bachelor's degree or higher

Median property tax billShare with a bachelor's degree or higher
Highest
Falls Church city, VA$10,000 or more79.7%
Arlington County, VA7,77477.1%
Los Alamos County, NM2,59168.2%
Alexandria city, VA6,87965.8%
San Miguel County, CO1,59965.2%
Lowest
McDowell County, WV2785.75%
Elliott County, KY6716.22%
Newton County, TX8566.23%
Lee County, AR4096.87%
Reeves County, TX1,3436.87%
States

By median property tax bill

Median property tax billShare with a bachelor's degree or higher
Highest
New Jersey9,54142.9%
Connecticut6,57541.9%
New Hampshire6,50539.8%
New York6,45039.5%
Massachusetts5,81346.6%
Lowest
Puerto Rico62729.1%
Alabama73827.8%
West Virginia83523.3%
Arkansas1,00325.1%
Louisiana1,14626.6%

By share with a bachelor's degree or higher

Median property tax billShare with a bachelor's degree or higher
Highest
District of Columbia4,18063.6%
Massachusetts5,81346.6%
Colorado2,44844.7%
New Jersey9,54142.9%
Maryland3,98942.7%
Lowest
West Virginia83523.3%
Mississippi1,18924.2%
Arkansas1,00325.1%
Louisiana1,14626.6%
Kentucky1,47227%
Metro areas — Median property tax bill is not published for metro areas

By share with a bachelor's degree or higher

Median property tax billShare with a bachelor's degree or higher
Highest
Los Alamos, NM—68.2%
Boulder, CO—63.9%
Ithaca, NY—59.3%
Nantucket, MA—58.4%
Ann Arbor, MI—58.1%
Lowest
Town of Pecos, TX—6.87%
Summerville, GA—10.7%
Arcadia, FL—11%
Eufaula, AL-GA—11.3%
Clewiston, FL—11.3%
Cities and towns

By median property tax bill

Median property tax billShare with a bachelor's degree or higher
Highest — 489 are at $10,000 or more; five shown.
Key Biscayne village, FL$10,000 or more74.4%
Palm Beach town, FL$10,000 or more68.4%
Parkland city, FL$10,000 or more67%
Pinecrest village, FL$10,000 or more71.7%
Barrington village, IL$10,000 or more72.6%
Lowest — 10 are at $200 or less; five shown.
Vega Alta zona urbana, PR$200 or less26.4%
Las Piedras zona urbana, PR$200 or less29.4%
Juncos zona urbana, PR$200 or less26%
Tallulah city, LA$200 or less12%
St. Martinville city, LA$200 or less14.9%

By share with a bachelor's degree or higher

Median property tax billShare with a bachelor's degree or higher
Highest
Stanford CDP, CA9,36091.1%
Scarsdale village, NY$10,000 or more90.7%
West University Place city, TX$10,000 or more90.5%
University Park city, TX$10,000 or more90.4%
Short Hills CDP, NJ$10,000 or more90%
Lowest
Corcoran city, CA1,6133.16%
McFarland city, CA2,1484.11%
Mecca CDP, CA2,5214.26%
Good Hope CDP, CA1,4684.28%
Arvin city, CA2,4454.3%
ZIP codes

By median property tax bill

Median property tax billShare with a bachelor's degree or higher
Highest — 712 are at $10,000 or more; five shown.
ZIP 10003 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more82.2%
ZIP 10005 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more84.3%
ZIP 10007 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more86.4%
ZIP 10010 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more80.5%
ZIP 10011 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more79.2%
Lowest — 26 are at $200 or less; five shown.
ZIP 00783 (Corozal Municipio, PR)$200 or less21.8%
ZIP 00782 (Comerío Municipio, PR)$200 or less18.2%
ZIP 00777 (Juncos Municipio, PR)$200 or less22.8%
ZIP 00723 (Patillas Municipio, PR)$200 or less22%
ZIP 00705 (Aibonito Municipio, PR)$200 or less23.5%

By share with a bachelor's degree or higher

Median property tax billShare with a bachelor's degree or higher
Highest
ZIP 02210 (Boston city, MA)$10,000 or more93.1%
ZIP 53726 (Madison city, WI)$10,000 or more91.8%
ZIP 60654 (Chicago city, IL)8,43591.8%
ZIP 10069 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more91%
ZIP 94305 (Stanford CDP, CA)9,57390.9%
Lowest
ZIP 92254 (Riverside County, CA)1,7643.03%
ZIP 73108 (Oklahoma City city, OK)6543.61%
ZIP 93212 (Kings County, CA)1,6363.64%
ZIP 46571 (LaGrange County, IN)1,8763.68%
ZIP 93241 (Weedpatch CDP, CA)1,4243.72%

Counties furthest from the pattern

Compared with the straight line that best fits all 3,174 counties: the five with far more share with a bachelor's degree or higher than their median property tax bill would suggest, and the five with far less.

Median property tax billShare with a bachelor's degree or higher
Above the line
San Miguel County, CO1,59965.2%
Los Alamos County, NM2,59168.2%
Gunnison County, CO1,68359.3%
Williamson County, TN2,89161.8%
Mineral County, CO1,46254.5%
Below the line
Passaic County, NJ$10,000 or more30.3%
Essex County, NJ$10,000 or more37.9%
Union County, NJ$10,000 or more38.6%
Salem County, NJ6,75724%
Orange County, NY8,46332.2%

Two series, one county

Both measures over time for a county you pick. The two charts are stacked, so they share only the years along the bottom. You can pick from the thirty largest counties reporting both. This panel covers 2010–2024, and a measure published only once shows as a single dot.

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Every version of the link

Each row measures the same link, from −1 to +1, in a different way. If the rows mostly agree, the link does not depend on one choice of method.

Before adjusting for anything+0.6643,167 counties reporting both
After adjusting for density, income and education+0.242the part of the link that is not just how urban, rich and educated a place is
Also adjusting for population size+0.238size taken out as well as density
Also comparing only within each state+0.309each county is compared only with others in its own state, so this is no longer a comparison between states
Giving bigger counties more weight-0.048the adjusted link for the average resident rather than the average county. With this weighting, the data counts for about 292 equally weighted counties
Middle value inside single states+0.791the link worked out inside each of 41 states with at least 20 counties reporting
Using ranks, after adjusting+0.274uses each county’s rank, not its value, so a few extreme counties cannot create the link

How much to believe it

Could it be chance?

The p-value is the chance of seeing a link this strong if there were really none. A value of 0.05 or less means the link is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 3.1e-16 means 0.00000000000000031, and the bigger the number after “e-”, the smaller the value. Treating every county as a separate case gives p = 2.0e-43. But counties in the same state tend to resemble each other, so the better figure allows for that: p = 0.000. The site tested 20,910 pairs, and testing so many turns up some flukes. The q-value allows for that too. For this pair it is 9.9e-43.

Do nearby places look alike?

Moran’s I measures how much nearby places look alike: 0 means no map pattern, and higher means neighbours are more similar. For the part of each county that the adjustment leaves unexplained, it is +0.32 (p = 0.001). That unexplained part still clusters on the map. So some regional factor shared by both measures is not accounted for.

Did they change together?

The figures above compare counties at one moment. This asks a different question: where median property tax bill rose most, did share with a bachelor's degree or highermove too? Each county’s change is compared with the average change in its own state. That takes out ups and downs that hit a whole region at once. Each change is the gap between two estimates that both contain some error. That error pulls these links towards zero, so a weak one is weak partly for that reason. The q column shows whether a link could be a fluke, allowing for the many pairs tested: 0.05 or less means it is unlikely to be chance.

PeriodCountiesChange togetherWithin statesq
2014–2019 the main test: each Census survey figure averages five years, and these two do not overlap; before the pandemic3,140+0.05+0.10—
2019–2023 a repeat check: its two five-year survey figures both include 2019, and it covers the COVID years3,138+0.13+0.14—

Both come from the American Community Survey, which asks a sample of households. Random error in a county's sample pushes both changes at once. So part of any agreement here is that shared error. It is shown, but not counted as a finding. How change is measured.

Related pairs

Association only. Nothing here shows that either measure changes the other. This describes counties, not the people in them. Two measures going together across places does not mean the same people have both. How the US county data works · Explore Median property tax bill and Share with a bachelor's degree or higher