placestats

Share separated and Years of potential life lost

Where Share separated is higher, Years of potential life lost tends to be higher. The link is weak: +0.33 across 2,156 counties, on a scale from −1 (opposite) to +1 (in step). That figure compares places with the same population density, income and education, so those differences can't explain it. It holds inside states too. Measured separately within each of 33 states, the middle value of the link is +0.42.

Holds after adjusting

Every place, plotted

One dot for each place reporting both measures. Hover over or tap a dot to see its name and values. The thin line is the straight line that best fits the dots. The bold line, shown for counties, is the link after adjusting for density, income and education. A dot far from the lines is a place that does not follow the pattern.

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What each measure is

Share separated

The percentage of people aged 15 and over who are separated. This is not a fifth group next to the other four. The Census counts a separated person as married with the spouse away, so this is part of the married share and must never be added to it.

Census ACS 5-year · ACS table B12001_007…B12001_016 (2 cells), divided by population aged 15 and over

Years of potential life lost

Years of life lost before age 75, per 100,000 people. A death at 25 counts as fifty years lost and a death at 70 as five, so earlier deaths count for more.

County Health Rankings · County Health Rankings v001

Highest and lowest

Where each measure is highest and lowest among the places reporting both (2023), with the other measure beside it. This is shown for every size of place where both are published. Metro-area values are added up from their counties. A measure that cannot be added up across counties, such as a middle value (median), has no metro figure. Counts are shown per 1,000 residents, since raw totals would only list the largest places. Cities and towns and ZIP codes are shown where the Census survey or the CDC publishes them; most other sources stop at the county. They are shown for places of 5,000 residents or more, and only where the survey’s margin of error is small enough for the figure to be usable. The CDC publishes its health estimates for cities in a version adjusted for age, so places with older or younger people can be compared fairly, but not for ZIP codes.

Counties

By share separated

Share separatedYears of potential life lost
Highest
Lee County, KY6.77%16,473
Holmes County, MS6.57%22,286
Woodruff County, AR6.36%11,239
Wilcox County, AL6.03%19,439
Sharkey County, MS5.99%21,606
Lowest
Columbia County, WA0%9,105
Dawes County, NE0%9,706
Franklin County, KS0.332%9,277
Marquette County, MI0.355%7,011
Marshall County, MN0.371%5,947

By years of potential life lost

Share separatedYears of potential life lost
Highest
Corson County, SD1.69%37,698
Todd County, SD3.68%34,850
Apache County, AZ2.53%27,851
McKinley County, NM2.29%27,593
Big Horn County, MT2%25,709
Lowest
San Juan County, WA1.21%3,315
Loudoun County, VA1.17%3,355
Arlington County, VA1.19%3,513
Fairfax County, VA1.32%3,772
Sioux County, IA0.772%3,914
States

By share separated

Share separatedYears of potential life lost
Highest
Mississippi2.49%13,328
South Carolina2.35%10,824
Louisiana2.22%12,185
New York2.19%6,637
North Carolina2.18%9,441
Lowest
Wisconsin0.869%7,447
North Dakota0.875%8,020
Minnesota0.888%6,462
Maine0.97%8,421
Nebraska0.993%7,072

By years of potential life lost

Share separatedYears of potential life lost
Highest
Mississippi2.49%13,328
West Virginia1.29%13,324
New Mexico1.53%12,363
Louisiana2.22%12,185
Alabama1.92%11,853
Lowest
Massachusetts1.52%5,975
Hawaii1.2%6,299
Utah1.16%6,429
Minnesota0.888%6,462
Rhode Island1.35%6,529
Metro areas

By share separated

Share separatedYears of potential life lost
Highest
Rio Grande City-Roma, TX5.51%9,793
Raymondville, TX4.62%11,567
Orangeburg, SC4.61%16,385
Bainbridge, GA4.55%14,703
Henderson, NC4.53%16,711
Lowest
Mitchell, SD0%7,039
Dickinson, ND0%7,949
Ottawa, KS0.332%9,277
Marquette, MI0.355%7,011
Alexandria, MN0.412%6,113

By years of potential life lost

Share separatedYears of potential life lost
Highest
Gallup, NM2.29%27,593
Clarksdale, MS3.43%22,826
Show Low, AZ2.02%21,728
Española, NM0.867%21,299
Selma, AL3.3%20,427
Lowest
Corvallis, OR1.15%4,158
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA1.39%4,202
Bozeman, MT0.699%4,276
Edwards, CO0.766%4,321
State College, PA0.932%4,450
Cities and towns — Years of potential life lost is not published for cities and towns

By share separated

Share separatedYears of potential life lost
Highest
Westgate CDP, FL11%—
Hazard city, KY9.11%—
Central City city, KY6.97%—
Gonzales city, TX6.77%—
Monticello village, NY6.7%—
Lowest
Simsbury Center CDP, CT0%—
Old Greenwich CDP, CT0%—
Oakville CDP, CT0%—
Daniels Farm CDP, CT0%—
Cos Cob CDP, CT0%—
ZIP codes — Years of potential life lost is not published for ZIP codes

By share separated

Share separatedYears of potential life lost
Highest
ZIP 39095 (Holmes County, MS)10.2%—
ZIP 79901 (El Paso city, TX)9.93%—
ZIP 63106 (St. Louis city, MO)8.33%—
ZIP 33128 (Miami city, FL)8.26%—
ZIP 36784 (Clarke County, AL)8.07%—
Lowest
ZIP 08502 (Somerset County, NJ)0%—
ZIP 08230 (Cape May County, NJ)0%—
ZIP 08056 (Gloucester County, NJ)0%—
ZIP 07981 (Whippany CDP, NJ)0%—
ZIP 07757 (Oceanport borough, NJ)0%—

Counties furthest from the pattern

Compared with the straight line that best fits all 2,159 counties: the five with far more years of potential life lost than their share separated would suggest, and the five with far less.

Share separatedYears of potential life lost
Above the line
Corson County, SD1.69%37,698
Todd County, SD3.68%34,850
McKinley County, NM2.29%27,593
Apache County, AZ2.53%27,851
La Paz County, AZ0.878%23,645
Below the line
Woodruff County, AR6.36%11,239
Starr County, TX5.51%9,793
Lanier County, GA5.08%9,926
Seward County, KS4.04%7,827
Bronx County, NY4.7%9,451

Two series, one county

Both measures over time for a county you pick. The two charts are stacked, so they share only the years along the bottom. You can pick from the thirty largest counties reporting both. This panel covers 2010–2024, and a measure published only once shows as a single dot.

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Every version of the link

Each row measures the same link, from −1 to +1, in a different way. If the rows mostly agree, the link does not depend on one choice of method.

Before adjusting for anything+0.5602,156 counties reporting both
After adjusting for density, income and education+0.327the part of the link that is not just how urban, rich and educated a place is
Also adjusting for population size+0.326size taken out as well as density
Also comparing only within each state+0.174each county is compared only with others in its own state, so this is no longer a comparison between states
Giving bigger counties more weight+0.184the adjusted link for the average resident rather than the average county. With this weighting, the data counts for about 266 equally weighted counties
Middle value inside single states+0.424the link worked out inside each of 33 states with at least 20 counties reporting
Using ranks, after adjusting+0.282uses each county’s rank, not its value, so a few extreme counties cannot create the link

How much to believe it

Could it be chance?

The p-value is the chance of seeing a link this strong if there were really none. A value of 0.05 or less means the link is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 3.1e-16 means 0.00000000000000031, and the bigger the number after “e-”, the smaller the value. Treating every county as a separate case gives p = 9.4e-55. But counties in the same state tend to resemble each other, so the better figure allows for that: p = 5.1e-6. The site tested 20,910 pairs, and testing so many turns up some flukes. The q-value allows for that too. For this pair it is 5.4e-54.

Do nearby places look alike?

Moran’s I measures how much nearby places look alike: 0 means no map pattern, and higher means neighbours are more similar. For the part of each county that the adjustment leaves unexplained, it is +0.34 (p = 0.001). That unexplained part still clusters on the map. So some regional factor shared by both measures is not accounted for.

Did they change together?

The figures above compare counties at one moment. This asks a different question: where share separated rose most, did years of potential life lostmove too? Each county’s change is compared with the average change in its own state. That takes out ups and downs that hit a whole region at once. Each change is the gap between two estimates that both contain some error. That error pulls these links towards zero, so a weak one is weak partly for that reason. The q column shows whether a link could be a fluke, allowing for the many pairs tested: 0.05 or less means it is unlikely to be chance.

PeriodCountiesChange togetherWithin statesq
2014–2019 the main test: each Census survey figure averages five years, and these two do not overlap; before the pandemic2,254-0.01+0.000.968
2019–2023 a repeat check: its two five-year survey figures both include 2019, and it covers the COVID years2,073-0.05-0.010.705

Measured over the nearest years published: Years of potential life lost: 2019–2022 for the 2019–2023 row.

Over the main period, any link between the changes could easily be chance. How change is measured.

Related pairs

Association only. Nothing here shows that either measure changes the other. This describes counties, not the people in them. Two measures going together across places does not mean the same people have both. How the US county data works · Explore Share separated and Years of potential life lost