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Per capita personal income and Median household income (model-based)

Across 3,069 counties, Per capita personal income and Median household income (model-based) have a link of +0.63, on a scale from −1 (opposite) to +1 (in step). But compare places with the same population density, income and education, and a weak link of +0.22 remains. Most of the first figure came from both measures following how urban, rich and educated a place is, not from a link with each other.

Mostly gone after adjusting

Every place, plotted

One dot for each place reporting both measures. Hover over or tap a dot to see its name and values. The thin line is the straight line that best fits the dots. The bold line, shown for counties, is the link after adjusting for density, income and education. A dot far from the lines is a place that does not follow the pattern.

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What each measure is

Per capita personal income

Personal income divided by the number of residents, children included.

BEA Regional Accounts · BEA CAINC1 line 3

Median household income (model-based)

The income of the middle household. It is an estimate from a statistical model that combines survey answers with tax and government-program records.

Census SAIPE · Census SAIPE SAEMHI_PT

Highest and lowest

Where each measure is highest and lowest among the places reporting both (2023), with the other measure beside it. This is shown for every size of place where both are published. Metro-area values are added up from their counties. A measure that cannot be added up across counties, such as a middle value (median), has no metro figure. Counts are shown per 1,000 residents, since raw totals would only list the largest places. Cities and towns and ZIP codes are shown where the Census survey or the CDC publishes them; most other sources stop at the county. They are shown for places of 5,000 residents or more, and only where the survey’s margin of error is small enough for the figure to be usable. The CDC publishes its health estimates for cities in a version adjusted for age, so places with older or younger people can be compared fairly, but not for ZIP codes.

Counties

By per capita personal income

Per capita personal incomeMedian household income (model-based)
Highest
Teton County, WY$500,560$130,160
Summit County, UT$268,220$139,850
Pitkin County, CO$261,950$109,270
Loving County, TX$210,370$86,760
New York County, NY$207,570$100,870
Lowest
Wheeler County, GA$24,985$41,163
Crowley County, CO$26,114$46,979
Madison County, ID$28,260$58,236
Union County, FL$28,509$60,843
Elliott County, KY$29,749$43,501

By median household income (model-based)

Per capita personal incomeMedian household income (model-based)
Highest
Loudoun County, VA$101,620$173,660
Santa Clara County, CA$149,430$154,570
San Mateo County, CA$171,040$151,000
Los Alamos County, NM$92,765$146,210
Douglas County, CO$103,590$144,810
Lowest
Claiborne County, MS$40,195$28,579
Holmes County, MS$38,530$30,542
Humphreys County, MS$44,359$31,538
Buffalo County, SD$38,031$32,803
Leflore County, MS$51,813$33,945
States

By per capita personal income

Per capita personal incomeMedian household income (model-based)
Highest
District of Columbia$106,640$104,640
Connecticut$90,235$91,477
Massachusetts$89,947$99,750
Wyoming$83,038$73,558
New York$81,932$82,052
Lowest
Mississippi$49,661$54,386
West Virginia$52,963$55,875
Alabama$54,612$62,248
New Mexico$55,457$62,286
Kentucky$55,667$61,099

By median household income (model-based)

Per capita personal incomeMedian household income (model-based)
Highest
District of Columbia$106,640$104,640
Massachusetts$89,947$99,750
New Jersey$81,584$99,716
Maryland$75,476$98,568
New Hampshire$79,267$97,031
Lowest
Mississippi$49,661$54,386
West Virginia$52,963$55,875
Louisiana$58,996$58,273
Arkansas$56,547$58,748
Kentucky$55,667$61,099
Metro areas — Median household income (model-based) is not published for metro areas

By per capita personal income

Per capita personal incomeMedian household income (model-based)
Highest
Jackson, WY-ID$349,320—
Heber, UT$186,820—
Hailey, ID$163,400—
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA$146,490—
Naples-Marco Island, FL$143,710—
Lowest
Rexburg, ID$32,063—
Rio Grande City-Roma, TX$33,211—
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX$34,393—
Zapata, TX$34,712—
Arcadia, FL$35,254—

Counties furthest from the pattern

Compared with the straight line that best fits all 3,091 counties: the five with far more median household income (model-based) than their per capita personal income would suggest, and the five with far less.

Per capita personal incomeMedian household income (model-based)
Above the line
Loudoun County, VA$101,620$173,660
Los Alamos County, NM$92,765$146,210
Stafford County, VA$67,033$130,750
Forsyth County, GA$83,899$136,350
Douglas County, CO$103,590$144,810
Below the line
Teton County, WY$500,560$130,160
Pitkin County, CO$261,950$109,270
Sherman County, TX$180,070$66,202
Loving County, TX$210,370$86,760
New York County, NY$207,570$100,870

Two series, one county

Both measures over time for a county you pick. The two charts are stacked, so they share only the years along the bottom. You can pick from the thirty largest counties reporting both. This panel covers 2010–2024, and a measure published only once shows as a single dot.

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Every version of the link

Each row measures the same link, from −1 to +1, in a different way. If the rows mostly agree, the link does not depend on one choice of method.

Before adjusting for anything+0.6293,069 counties reporting both
After adjusting for density, income and education+0.218the part of the link that is not just how urban, rich and educated a place is
Also adjusting for population size+0.225size taken out as well as density
Also comparing only within each state+0.239each county is compared only with others in its own state, so this is no longer a comparison between states
Giving bigger counties more weight+0.041the adjusted link for the average resident rather than the average county. With this weighting, the data counts for about 282 equally weighted counties
Middle value inside single states+0.689the link worked out inside each of 40 states with at least 20 counties reporting
Using ranks, after adjusting+0.221uses each county’s rank, not its value, so a few extreme counties cannot create the link

How much to believe it

Could it be chance?

The p-value is the chance of seeing a link this strong if there were really none. A value of 0.05 or less means the link is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 3.1e-16 means 0.00000000000000031, and the bigger the number after “e-”, the smaller the value. Treating every county as a separate case gives p = 1.9e-34. But counties in the same state tend to resemble each other, so the better figure allows for that: p = 1.5e-10. The site tested 20,910 pairs, and testing so many turns up some flukes. The q-value allows for that too. For this pair it is 8.2e-34.

Do nearby places look alike?

Moran’s I measures how much nearby places look alike: 0 means no map pattern, and higher means neighbours are more similar. For the part of each county that the adjustment leaves unexplained, it is +0.09 (p = 0.001). Once the adjustment is made, little map pattern is left.

Did they change together?

The figures above compare counties at one moment. This asks a different question: where per capita personal income rose most, did median household income (model-based)move too? Each county’s change is compared with the average change in its own state. That takes out ups and downs that hit a whole region at once. Each change is the gap between two estimates that both contain some error. That error pulls these links towards zero, so a weak one is weak partly for that reason. The q column shows whether a link could be a fluke, allowing for the many pairs tested: 0.05 or less means it is unlikely to be chance.

PeriodCountiesChange togetherWithin statesq
2014–2019 the main test: each Census survey figure averages five years, and these two do not overlap; before the pandemic3,080+0.38+0.272.3e-12
2019–2023 a repeat check: its two five-year survey figures both include 2019, and it covers the COVID years3,080+0.12+0.110.000

In counties where one changed more, the other tended to move the same way, compared with other counties in the same state (r = +0.27). The same holds in the second period. How change is measured.

Related pairs

Association only. Nothing here shows that either measure changes the other. This describes counties, not the people in them. Two measures going together across places does not mean the same people have both. How the US county data works · Explore Per capita personal income and Median household income (model-based)