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Median property tax bill and Per capita income

Across 3,166 counties, Median property tax bill and Per capita income have a link of +0.71, on a scale from −1 (opposite) to +1 (in step). But compare places with the same population density, income and education, and a very weak link of +0.12 remains. Most of the first figure came from both measures following how urban, rich and educated a place is, not from a link with each other.

Mostly gone after adjusting

Every place, plotted

One dot for each place reporting both measures. Hover over or tap a dot to see its name and values. The thin line is the straight line that best fits the dots. The bold line, shown for counties, is the link after adjusting for density, income and education. A dot far from the lines is a place that does not follow the pattern.

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What each measure is

Median property tax bill

The yearly property tax bill, in dollars, of the middle home-owning household that pays one. Households with no bill are left out, so this is what payers pay, not the average across all owners.

Census ACS 5-year · ACS table B25103_001

Per capita income

All the money income in the area divided by everyone who lives there, children included. It is an average, so a few high earners pull it up, unlike the middle household income.

Census ACS 5-year · ACS table B19301_001

Highest and lowest

Where each measure is highest and lowest among the places reporting both (2023), with the other measure beside it. This is shown for every size of place where both are published. Metro-area values are added up from their counties. A measure that cannot be added up across counties, such as a middle value (median), has no metro figure. Counts are shown per 1,000 residents, since raw totals would only list the largest places. Cities and towns and ZIP codes are shown where the Census survey or the CDC publishes them; most other sources stop at the county. They are shown for places of 5,000 residents or more, and only where the survey’s margin of error is small enough for the figure to be usable. The CDC publishes its health estimates for cities in a version adjusted for age, so places with older or younger people can be compared fairly, but not for ZIP codes.

Counties

By median property tax bill

Median property tax billPer capita income
Highest — 16 are at $10,000 or more; five shown.
Bergen County, NJ$10,000 or more$62,986
Essex County, NJ$10,000 or more$48,021
Hunterdon County, NJ$10,000 or more$71,070
Monmouth County, NJ$10,000 or more$65,545
Morris County, NJ$10,000 or more$69,226
Lowest — 21 are at $200 or less; five shown.
Northwest Arctic Borough, AK$200 or less$28,467
Kusilvak Census Area, AK$200 or less$16,657
Copper River Census Area, AK$200 or less$38,788
Choctaw County, AL$200 or less$26,781
Yauco Municipio, PR$200 or less$12,939

By per capita income

Median property tax billPer capita income
Highest
Pitkin County, CO4,450$105,100
New York County, NY$10,000 or more$94,922
Marin County, CA$10,000 or more$90,408
San Francisco County, CA9,412$90,285
Arlington County, VA7,774$88,024
Lowest
Vieques Municipio, PR$200 or less$9,346
Adjuntas Municipio, PR$200 or less$9,457
Las Marías Municipio, PR274$9,744
Jayuya Municipio, PR$200 or less$9,779
Ciales Municipio, PR$200 or less$9,927
States

By median property tax bill

Median property tax billPer capita income
Highest
New Jersey9,541$53,118
Connecticut6,575$54,409
New Hampshire6,505$50,867
New York6,450$49,520
Massachusetts5,813$56,284
Lowest
Puerto Rico627$16,794
Alabama738$34,835
West Virginia835$32,949
Arkansas1,003$33,147
Louisiana1,146$34,211

By per capita income

Median property tax billPer capita income
Highest
District of Columbia4,180$75,253
Massachusetts5,813$56,284
Connecticut6,575$54,409
New Jersey9,541$53,118
Maryland3,989$51,689
Lowest
Puerto Rico627$16,794
Mississippi1,189$30,529
West Virginia835$32,949
Arkansas1,003$33,147
Louisiana1,146$34,211
Metro areas — Median property tax bill is not published for metro areas

By per capita income

Median property tax billPer capita income
Highest
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA—$75,895
Nantucket, MA—$72,733
Los Alamos, NM—$72,684
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA—$72,306
Vineyard Haven, MA—$71,014
Lowest
Lares, PR—$10,871
Utuado, PR—$10,916
Coco, PR—$12,533
Guayama, PR—$12,987
Ponce, PR—$13,325
Cities and towns

By median property tax bill

Median property tax billPer capita income
Highest — 491 are at $10,000 or more; five shown.
Key Biscayne village, FL$10,000 or more$97,329
Palm Beach town, FL$10,000 or more$211,810
Parkland city, FL$10,000 or more$70,417
Pinecrest village, FL$10,000 or more$103,700
Barrington village, IL$10,000 or more$80,316
Lowest — 11 are at $200 or less; five shown.
Vega Alta zona urbana, PR$200 or less$14,476
Las Piedras zona urbana, PR$200 or less$14,546
Juncos zona urbana, PR$200 or less$12,256
Ville Platte city, LA$200 or less$16,796
Tallulah city, LA$200 or less$14,443

By per capita income

Median property tax billPer capita income
Highest
Palm Beach town, FL$10,000 or more$211,810
Atherton town, CA$10,000 or more$203,140
Highland Park town, TX$10,000 or more$187,200
Scarsdale village, NY$10,000 or more$181,920
Cherry Hills Village city, CO$10,000 or more$176,850
Lowest
California Polytechnic State University CDP, CA5,500$5,540
Leakesville town, MS748$7,329
Kaser village, NY$10,000 or more$9,137
Sayre city, OK501$10,568
New Square village, NY$10,000 or more$10,882
ZIP codes

By median property tax bill

Median property tax billPer capita income
Highest — 712 are at $10,000 or more; five shown.
ZIP 10003 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more$119,040
ZIP 10005 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more$158,830
ZIP 10007 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more$209,000
ZIP 10010 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more$135,340
ZIP 10011 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more$140,710
Lowest — 28 are at $200 or less; five shown.
ZIP 00783 (Corozal Municipio, PR)$200 or less$12,600
ZIP 00782 (Comerío Municipio, PR)$200 or less$10,832
ZIP 00777 (Juncos Municipio, PR)$200 or less$15,407
ZIP 00765 (Vieques Municipio, PR)$200 or less$9,346
ZIP 00723 (Patillas Municipio, PR)$200 or less$12,454

By per capita income

Median property tax billPer capita income
Highest
ZIP 10007 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more$209,000
ZIP 10282 (New York city, NY)$10,000 or more$207,030
ZIP 94027 (Atherton town, CA)$10,000 or more$203,240
ZIP 94105 (San Francisco city, CA)$10,000 or more$196,160
ZIP 33480 (Palm Beach town, FL)$10,000 or more$194,910
Lowest
ZIP 71643 (Lincoln County, AR)391$4,601
ZIP 37916 (Knoxville city, TN)1,556$8,453
ZIP 77446 (Prairie View city, TX)3,714$8,951
ZIP 00765 (Vieques Municipio, PR)$200 or less$9,346
ZIP 00653 (Guánica Municipio, PR)1,047$9,383

Counties furthest from the pattern

Compared with the straight line that best fits all 3,181 counties: the five with far more per capita income than their median property tax bill would suggest, and the five with far less.

Median property tax billPer capita income
Above the line
Pitkin County, CO4,450$105,100
Los Alamos County, NM2,591$72,684
Nantucket County, MA2,985$72,733
Summit County, UT3,469$74,755
Goochland County, VA2,418$68,258
Below the line
Passaic County, NJ$10,000 or more$40,241
Rockland County, NY$10,000 or more$45,538
Essex County, NJ$10,000 or more$48,021
Bronx County, NY5,310$26,956
Orange County, NY8,463$42,019

Two series, one county

Both measures over time for a county you pick. The two charts are stacked, so they share only the years along the bottom. You can pick from the thirty largest counties reporting both. This panel covers 2010–2024, and a measure published only once shows as a single dot.

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Every version of the link

Each row measures the same link, from −1 to +1, in a different way. If the rows mostly agree, the link does not depend on one choice of method.

Before adjusting for anything+0.7153,166 counties reporting both
After adjusting for density, income and education+0.120the part of the link that is not just how urban, rich and educated a place is
Also adjusting for population size+0.126size taken out as well as density
Also comparing only within each state+0.070each county is compared only with others in its own state, so this is no longer a comparison between states
Giving bigger counties more weight+0.205the adjusted link for the average resident rather than the average county. With this weighting, the data counts for about 292 equally weighted counties
Middle value inside single states+0.801the link worked out inside each of 41 states with at least 20 counties reporting
Using ranks, after adjusting+0.106uses each county’s rank, not its value, so a few extreme counties cannot create the link

How much to believe it

Could it be chance?

The p-value is the chance of seeing a link this strong if there were really none. A value of 0.05 or less means the link is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 3.1e-16 means 0.00000000000000031, and the bigger the number after “e-”, the smaller the value. Treating every county as a separate case gives p = 1.4e-11. But counties in the same state tend to resemble each other, so the better figure allows for that: p = 0.005. The site tested 20,910 pairs, and testing so many turns up some flukes. The q-value allows for that too. For this pair it is 3.3e-11.

Do nearby places look alike?

Moran’s I measures how much nearby places look alike: 0 means no map pattern, and higher means neighbours are more similar. For the part of each county that the adjustment leaves unexplained, it is +0.20 (p = 0.001). That unexplained part still clusters on the map. So some regional factor shared by both measures is not accounted for.

Did they change together?

The figures above compare counties at one moment. This asks a different question: where median property tax bill rose most, did per capita incomemove too? Each county’s change is compared with the average change in its own state. That takes out ups and downs that hit a whole region at once. Each change is the gap between two estimates that both contain some error. That error pulls these links towards zero, so a weak one is weak partly for that reason. The q column shows whether a link could be a fluke, allowing for the many pairs tested: 0.05 or less means it is unlikely to be chance.

PeriodCountiesChange togetherWithin statesq
2014–2019 the main test: each Census survey figure averages five years, and these two do not overlap; before the pandemic3,148+0.02+0.06—
2019–2023 a repeat check: its two five-year survey figures both include 2019, and it covers the COVID years3,146+0.08+0.07—

Both come from the American Community Survey, which asks a sample of households. Random error in a county's sample pushes both changes at once. So part of any agreement here is that shared error. It is shown, but not counted as a finding. How change is measured.

Related pairs

Association only. Nothing here shows that either measure changes the other. This describes counties, not the people in them. Two measures going together across places does not mean the same people have both. How the US county data works · Explore Median property tax bill and Per capita income