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Coronary heart disease and Adult income rank of children raised poor here

Where Coronary heart disease is higher, Adult income rank of children raised poor here tends to be lower. The link is weak: -0.35 across 2,932 counties, on a scale from −1 (opposite) to +1 (in step). That figure compares places with the same population density, income and education, so those differences can't explain it. It holds inside states too. Measured separately within each of 38 states, the middle value of the link is -0.26.

Holds after adjusting

Every place, plotted

One dot for each place reporting both measures. Hover over or tap a dot to see its name and values. The thin line is the straight line that best fits the dots. The bold line, shown for counties, is the link after adjusting for density, income and education. A dot far from the lines is a place that does not follow the pattern.

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What each measure is

Coronary heart disease

The estimated percentage of adults who have been told they have coronary heart disease (narrowed heart arteries). It is adjusted so places with older or younger populations can be compared fairly. It is an estimate from a statistical model, not a direct count from a local survey.

CDC PLACES · PLACES CHD, age-adjusted

Adult income rank of children raised poor here

Where children who grew up here with poor parents ended up as adults, ranked against everyone in the country by income, on a scale from 0 to 1. A value of 0.5 would mean that on average they reached the middle of the national income ladder.

Opportunity Atlas · Opportunity Insights kfr_pooled_pooled_p25

Highest and lowest

Where each measure is highest and lowest among the places reporting both (2023), with the other measure beside it. This is shown for every size of place where both are published. Metro-area values are added up from their counties. A measure that cannot be added up across counties, such as a middle value (median), has no metro figure. Counts are shown per 1,000 residents, since raw totals would only list the largest places. Cities and towns and ZIP codes are shown where the Census survey or the CDC publishes them; most other sources stop at the county. They are shown for places of 5,000 residents or more, and only where the survey’s margin of error is small enough for the figure to be usable. The CDC publishes its health estimates for cities in a version adjusted for age, so places with older or younger people can be compared fairly, but not for ZIP codes.

Counties

By coronary heart disease

Coronary heart diseaseAdult income rank of children raised poor here
Highest
Oglala Lakota County, SD11.4%0.248
Todd County, SD10.9%0.302
Sioux County, ND10.1%0.293
Kusilvak Census Area, AK9.6%0.216
East Carroll Parish, LA9.5%0.349
Lowest
Falls Church city, VA3.8%0.5
Douglas County, CO3.9%0.482
Broomfield County, CO4%0.474
King County, WA4%0.453
Los Alamos County, NM4%0.472

By adult income rank of children raised poor here

Coronary heart diseaseAdult income rank of children raised poor here
Highest
Harding County, SD5%0.688
Bowman County, ND5.2%0.675
Grant County, ND6.4%0.667
Billings County, ND5.6%0.666
Golden Valley County, ND6%0.662
Lowest
Kusilvak Census Area, AK9.6%0.216
Hoonah-Angoon Census Area, AK6.5%0.237
Northwest Arctic Borough, AK7.9%0.242
Bethel Census Area, AK8.6%0.245
Oglala Lakota County, SD11.4%0.248
Metro areas

By coronary heart disease

Coronary heart diseaseAdult income rank of children raised poor here
Highest
Gallup, NM8.9%0.354
Lumberton, NC8.1%0.321
Arcadia, FL7.9%0.357
Forrest City, AR7.9%0.339
Zapata, TX7.9%0.476
Lowest
Los Alamos, NM4%0.472
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA4.13%0.472
Nantucket, MA4.3%0.507
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA4.3%0.441
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA4.33%0.46

By adult income rank of children raised poor here

Coronary heart diseaseAdult income rank of children raised poor here
Highest
Dickinson, ND5.6%0.625
Carroll, IA5.4%0.59
Williston, ND5.5%0.586
Le Mars, IA5.1%0.551
Heber, UT4.39%0.543
Lowest
Laurinburg, NC7.5%0.311
Greenville, MS7.3%0.319
Lumberton, NC8.1%0.321
Henderson, NC6.4%0.324
Clarksdale, MS7.7%0.325
Cities and towns — Adult income rank of children raised poor here is not published for cities and towns

By coronary heart disease

Coronary heart diseaseAdult income rank of children raised poor here
Highest
New Square village, NY10.8%—
Isla Vista CDP, CA10%—
Kiryas Joel village, NY9.7%—
Kaser village, NY9.6%—
University of California-Davis CDP, CA9.6%—
Lowest
San Marino city, CA3.1%—
South Pasadena city, CA3.3%—
Palos Verdes Estates city, CA3.3%—
Los Altos city, CA3.3%—
Cupertino city, CA3.3%—

Counties furthest from the pattern

Compared with the straight line that best fits all 2,951 counties: the five with far more adult income rank of children raised poor here than their coronary heart disease would suggest, and the five with far less.

Coronary heart diseaseAdult income rank of children raised poor here
Above the line
Grant County, ND6.4%0.667
Golden Valley County, ND6%0.662
Harding County, SD5%0.688
Billings County, ND5.6%0.666
Bowman County, ND5.2%0.675
Below the line
Hoonah-Angoon Census Area, AK6.5%0.237
Mineral County, CO4.9%0.294
Fulton County, GA4.7%0.328
District of Columbia, DC4.1%0.349
Denali Borough, AK5.4%0.31

Two series, one county

Both measures over time for a county you pick. The two charts are stacked, so they share only the years along the bottom. You can pick from the thirty largest counties reporting both. This panel covers 2010–2024, and a measure published only once shows as a single dot.

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Every version of the link

Each row measures the same link, from −1 to +1, in a different way. If the rows mostly agree, the link does not depend on one choice of method.

Before adjusting for anything-0.4042,932 counties reporting both
After adjusting for density, income and education-0.347the part of the link that is not just how urban, rich and educated a place is
Also adjusting for population size-0.353size taken out as well as density
Also comparing only within each state-0.307each county is compared only with others in its own state, so this is no longer a comparison between states
Giving bigger counties more weight-0.180the adjusted link for the average resident rather than the average county. With this weighting, the data counts for about 264 equally weighted counties
Middle value inside single states-0.264the link worked out inside each of 38 states with at least 20 counties reporting
Using ranks, after adjusting-0.244uses each county’s rank, not its value, so a few extreme counties cannot create the link

How much to believe it

Could it be chance?

The p-value is the chance of seeing a link this strong if there were really none. A value of 0.05 or less means the link is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 3.1e-16 means 0.00000000000000031, and the bigger the number after “e-”, the smaller the value. Treating every county as a separate case gives p = 1.4e-83. But counties in the same state tend to resemble each other, so the better figure allows for that: p = 0.000. The site tested 20,910 pairs, and testing so many turns up some flukes. The q-value allows for that too. For this pair it is 1.0e-82.

Do nearby places look alike?

Moran’s I measures how much nearby places look alike: 0 means no map pattern, and higher means neighbours are more similar. For the part of each county that the adjustment leaves unexplained, it is +0.61 (p = 0.001). That unexplained part still clusters on the map. So some regional factor shared by both measures is not accounted for.

Did they change together?

Not measurable: at least one of these is published for too few of the years a change needs (2014–2019 or 2019–2023), or for too few counties in both.

Related pairs

Association only. Nothing here shows that either measure changes the other. This describes counties, not the people in them. Two measures going together across places does not mean the same people have both. How the US county data works · Explore Coronary heart disease and Adult income rank of children raised poor here