placestats

Share widowed and Motor vehicle crash deaths

Across 2,487 counties, Share widowed and Motor vehicle crash deaths have a link of +0.50, on a scale from −1 (opposite) to +1 (in step). But compare places with the same population density, income and education, and a very weak link of +0.15 remains. Most of the first figure came from both measures following how urban, rich and educated a place is, not from a link with each other.

Mostly gone after adjusting

Every place, plotted

One dot for each place reporting both measures. Hover over or tap a dot to see its name and values. The thin line is the straight line that best fits the dots. The bold line, shown for counties, is the link after adjusting for density, income and education. A dot far from the lines is a place that does not follow the pattern.

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What each measure is

Share widowed

The percentage of people aged 15 and over whose spouse has died. It mostly follows how old the population is, so it is close to a second measure of a county's age.

Census ACS 5-year · ACS table B12001_009…B12001_018 (2 cells), divided by population aged 15 and over

Motor vehicle crash deaths

Deaths in car and other motor vehicle crashes per 100,000 people.

County Health Rankings · County Health Rankings v039

Highest and lowest

Where each measure is highest and lowest among the places reporting both (2023), with the other measure beside it. This is shown for every size of place where both are published. Metro-area values are added up from their counties. A measure that cannot be added up across counties, such as a middle value (median), has no metro figure. Counts are shown per 1,000 residents, since raw totals would only list the largest places. Cities and towns and ZIP codes are shown where the Census survey or the CDC publishes them; most other sources stop at the county. They are shown for places of 5,000 residents or more, and only where the survey’s margin of error is small enough for the figure to be usable. The CDC publishes its health estimates for cities in a version adjusted for age, so places with older or younger people can be compared fairly, but not for ZIP codes.

Counties

By share widowed

Share widowedMotor vehicle crash deaths
Highest
Nevada County, AR13.8%32.9
McDowell County, WV13.8%27.7
Stone County, AR13.5%21.6
Lancaster County, VA13%18.6
Perry County, AL12.8%30.6
Lowest
Madison County, ID1.46%5.22
Gunnison County, CO2.4%12.5
Utah County, UT2.54%5.61
Arlington County, VA2.73%2.73
Cache County, UT2.74%8.68

By motor vehicle crash deaths

Share widowedMotor vehicle crash deaths
Highest
Big Horn County, MT7.62%90
Oglala Lakota County, SD6.1%86.4
Todd County, SD4.75%80.6
Jackson County, SD7.11%76.3
Dewey County, SD6.48%68.3
Lowest
New York County, NY4.62%2.71
Arlington County, VA2.73%2.73
Loudoun County, VA3.34%3.46
Kings County, NY5.03%3.66
Richmond County, NY5.93%3.83
States

By share widowed

Share widowedMotor vehicle crash deaths
Highest
West Virginia7.93%15.9
Mississippi7.06%25.5
Alabama6.88%20.7
Arkansas6.86%19.8
Kentucky6.63%17.4
Lowest
District of Columbia3.41%6.39
Utah3.51%8.72
Alaska4.09%11.2
Colorado4.11%11.8
Washington4.61%8.78

By motor vehicle crash deaths

Share widowedMotor vehicle crash deaths
Highest
Mississippi7.06%25.5
South Carolina6.5%20.8
Alabama6.88%20.7
Arkansas6.86%19.8
New Mexico5.93%19.8
Lowest
New York5.59%5.9
Massachusetts5.1%6.01
District of Columbia3.41%6.39
Rhode Island5.73%6.89
New Jersey5.55%6.98
Metro areas

By share widowed

Share widowedMotor vehicle crash deaths
Highest
Mountain Home, AR11.2%15.7
Martinsville, VA10.8%24
Middlesborough, KY10.6%29
Wildwood-The Villages, FL10.5%17.1
Selma, AL10.4%39.2
Lowest
Rexburg, ID2.1%8.8
Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT2.56%5.83
Heber, UT2.88%8.92
Logan, UT-ID2.92%9.72
Pullman, WA2.97%5.54

By motor vehicle crash deaths

Share widowedMotor vehicle crash deaths
Highest
Palatka, FL8.93%45.5
Gallup, NM6.86%42.3
Lumberton, NC7.83%41.4
Show Low, AZ5.99%40.2
Selma, AL10.4%39.2
Lowest
Amherst Town-Northampton, MA5.02%5.04
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ5.39%5.04
Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT4.98%5.09
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH4.85%5.14
Pullman, WA2.97%5.54
Cities and towns — Motor vehicle crash deaths is not published for cities and towns

By share widowed

Share widowedMotor vehicle crash deaths
Highest
Leisure World CDP, MD24.3%—
Holiday City-Berkeley CDP, NJ23.8%—
Crestwood Village CDP, NJ23.2%—
South Pasadena city, FL22.3%—
The Meadows CDP, FL21%—
Lowest
University of California-Santa Barbara CDP, CA0%—
Lemoore Station CDP, CA0%—
Fort Irwin CDP, CA0%—
Camp Pendleton South CDP, CA0%—
Fort Rucker CDP, AL0%—
ZIP codes — Motor vehicle crash deaths is not published for ZIP codes

By share widowed

Share widowedMotor vehicle crash deaths
Highest
ZIP 92637 (Laguna Woods city, CA)20.5%—
ZIP 85351 (Sun City CDP, AZ)18.6%—
ZIP 08759 (Ocean County, NJ)18.5%—
ZIP 07444 (Pompton Plains CDP, NJ)17.9%—
ZIP 33484 (Palm Beach County, FL)17.3%—
Lowest
ZIP 06269 (Storrs CDP, CT)0%—
ZIP 01003 (Amherst Town city, MA)0%—
ZIP 99703 (Fairbanks city, AK)0%—
ZIP 94720 (Berkeley city, CA)0%—
ZIP 93410 (California Polytechnic State University CDP, CA)0%—

Counties furthest from the pattern

Compared with the straight line that best fits all 2,489 counties: the five with far more motor vehicle crash deaths than their share widowed would suggest, and the five with far less.

Share widowedMotor vehicle crash deaths
Above the line
Oglala Lakota County, SD6.1%86.4
Big Horn County, MT7.62%90
Todd County, SD4.75%80.6
Jackson County, SD7.11%76.3
Dewey County, SD6.48%68.3
Below the line
Brooke County, WV11%9.03
Lancaster County, VA13%18.6
Essex County, NY8.58%6.12
Talbot County, MD9.3%8.81
Summers County, WV12.5%18.3

Two series, one county

Both measures over time for a county you pick. The two charts are stacked, so they share only the years along the bottom. You can pick from the thirty largest counties reporting both. This panel covers 2010–2024, and a measure published only once shows as a single dot.

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Every version of the link

Each row measures the same link, from −1 to +1, in a different way. If the rows mostly agree, the link does not depend on one choice of method.

Before adjusting for anything+0.5032,487 counties reporting both
After adjusting for density, income and education+0.153the part of the link that is not just how urban, rich and educated a place is
Also adjusting for population size+0.121size taken out as well as density
Also comparing only within each state+0.119each county is compared only with others in its own state, so this is no longer a comparison between states
Giving bigger counties more weight+0.177the adjusted link for the average resident rather than the average county. With this weighting, the data counts for about 280 equally weighted counties
Middle value inside single states+0.539the link worked out inside each of 36 states with at least 20 counties reporting
Using ranks, after adjusting+0.149uses each county’s rank, not its value, so a few extreme counties cannot create the link

How much to believe it

Could it be chance?

The p-value is the chance of seeing a link this strong if there were really none. A value of 0.05 or less means the link is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 3.1e-16 means 0.00000000000000031, and the bigger the number after “e-”, the smaller the value. Treating every county as a separate case gives p = 2.1e-14. But counties in the same state tend to resemble each other, so the better figure allows for that: p = 9.6e-5. The site tested 20,910 pairs, and testing so many turns up some flukes. The q-value allows for that too. For this pair it is 5.6e-14.

Do nearby places look alike?

Moran’s I measures how much nearby places look alike: 0 means no map pattern, and higher means neighbours are more similar. For the part of each county that the adjustment leaves unexplained, it is +0.34 (p = 0.001). That unexplained part still clusters on the map. So some regional factor shared by both measures is not accounted for.

Did they change together?

The figures above compare counties at one moment. This asks a different question: where share widowed rose most, did motor vehicle crash deathsmove too? Each county’s change is compared with the average change in its own state. That takes out ups and downs that hit a whole region at once. Each change is the gap between two estimates that both contain some error. That error pulls these links towards zero, so a weak one is weak partly for that reason. The q column shows whether a link could be a fluke, allowing for the many pairs tested: 0.05 or less means it is unlikely to be chance.

PeriodCountiesChange togetherWithin statesq
2014–2019 the main test: each Census survey figure averages five years, and these two do not overlap; before the pandemic2,380-0.01-0.020.644
2019–2023 a repeat check: its two five-year survey figures both include 2019, and it covers the COVID years2,407+0.01+0.000.938

Measured over the nearest years published: Motor vehicle crash deaths: 2013–2019 for the 2014–2019 row; Motor vehicle crash deaths: 2019–2022 for the 2019–2023 row.

Over the main period, any link between the changes could easily be chance. How change is measured.

Related pairs

Association only. Nothing here shows that either measure changes the other. This describes counties, not the people in them. Two measures going together across places does not mean the same people have both. How the US county data works · Explore Share widowed and Motor vehicle crash deaths