placestats

Share White, not Hispanic and Children in single-parent households

Where Share White, not Hispanic is higher, Children in single-parent households tends to be lower. The link is strong: -0.65 across 2,813 counties, on a scale from −1 (opposite) to +1 (in step). That figure compares places with the same population density, income and education, so those differences can't explain it. It holds inside states too. Measured separately within each of 39 states, the middle value of the link is -0.50.

Holds after adjusting

Every place, plotted

One dot for each place reporting both measures. Hover over or tap a dot to see its name and values. The thin line is the straight line that best fits the dots. The bold line, shown for counties, is the link after adjusting for density, income and education. A dot far from the lines is a place that does not follow the pattern.

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What each measure is

Share White, not Hispanic

The percentage of residents who are White alone and not Hispanic or Latino. It comes from a table that sorts people by both race and Hispanic origin, so nobody is counted twice. The eight race and ethnicity shares here add up to exactly 100% in every county.

Census ACS 5-year · ACS table B03002_003, divided by total population

Children in single-parent households

The percentage of children who live in a household headed by one parent.

County Health Rankings · County Health Rankings v082

Highest and lowest

Where each measure is highest and lowest among the places reporting both (2023), with the other measure beside it. This is shown for every size of place where both are published. Metro-area values are added up from their counties. A measure that cannot be added up across counties, such as a middle value (median), has no metro figure. Counts are shown per 1,000 residents, since raw totals would only list the largest places. Cities and towns and ZIP codes are shown where the Census survey or the CDC publishes them; most other sources stop at the county. They are shown for places of 5,000 residents or more, and only where the survey’s margin of error is small enough for the figure to be usable. The CDC publishes its health estimates for cities in a version adjusted for age, so places with older or younger people can be compared fairly, but not for ZIP codes.

Counties

By share White, not Hispanic

Share White, not HispanicChildren in single-parent households
Highest
Blaine County, NE100%0%
Magoffin County, KY97.6%0.33%
Dickenson County, VA97.6%0.182%
Holmes County, OH97.4%0.0547%
Boone County, WV97.2%0.278%
Lowest
Starr County, TX2.15%0.404%
Maverick County, TX2.84%0.359%
Kusilvak Census Area, AK3.07%0.325%
Webb County, TX3.57%0.291%
Zapata County, TX4.57%0.319%

By children in single-parent households

Share White, not HispanicChildren in single-parent households
Highest
McCormick County, SC54.5%0.779%
Wilcox County, AL27.5%0.754%
East Carroll Parish, LA29%0.746%
Bullock County, AL21.1%0.713%
Quitman County, GA47.8%0.693%
Lowest
Jeff Davis County, TX66.7%0%
Esmeralda County, NV65.2%0%
Blaine County, NE100%0%
Meagher County, MT92.4%0%
Custer County, ID89.4%0%
States

By share White, not Hispanic

Share White, not HispanicChildren in single-parent households
Highest
Maine90.6%0.188%
Vermont90.6%0.211%
West Virginia90.2%0.242%
New Hampshire87.5%0.184%
Montana84.1%0.201%
Lowest
Hawaii21.1%0.219%
California34.6%0.225%
New Mexico36.5%0.305%
District of Columbia36.6%0.454%
Texas39.9%0.254%

By children in single-parent households

Share White, not HispanicChildren in single-parent households
Highest
District of Columbia36.6%0.454%
Mississippi55.4%0.37%
Louisiana56.2%0.345%
Alabama63.8%0.306%
New Mexico36.5%0.305%
Lowest
Utah75.7%0.146%
Idaho79.3%0.17%
North Dakota82.5%0.181%
Wyoming82.1%0.181%
New Hampshire87.5%0.184%
Metro areas

By share White, not Hispanic

Share White, not HispanicChildren in single-parent households
Highest
Pikeville, KY95.3%0.274%
Greenville, OH95.1%0.169%
Effingham, IL94.9%0.166%
Warren, PA94.9%0.218%
Wapakoneta, OH94.8%0.174%
Lowest
Rio Grande City-Roma, TX2.15%0.404%
Eagle Pass, TX2.84%0.359%
Laredo, TX3.57%0.291%
Zapata, TX4.57%0.319%
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX6.08%0.302%

By children in single-parent households

Share White, not HispanicChildren in single-parent households
Highest
Greenwood, MS32.1%0.589%
Greenville, MS24.1%0.565%
Orangeburg, SC33.1%0.565%
Clarksdale, MS19.3%0.554%
Natchez, MS-LA40.6%0.541%
Lowest
Rexburg, ID84.3%0.0695%
Washington, IN87.9%0.0878%
Selinsgrove, PA94.3%0.0956%
Granbury, TX81.1%0.0972%
Decatur, IN92.8%0.103%
Cities and towns — Children in single-parent households is not published for cities and towns

By share White, not Hispanic

Share White, not HispanicChildren in single-parent households
Highest
Treasure Lake CDP, PA99.2%—
Litchfield city, IL98.8%—
Cicero town, IN98.2%—
East Harwich CDP, MA98.1%—
Wellston city, OH98.1%—
Lowest
Mecca CDP, CA0%—
Earlimart CDP, CA0%—
Yabucoa zona urbana, PR0%—
San Lorenzo zona urbana, PR0%—
San Isidro comunidad, PR0%—
ZIP codes — Children in single-parent households is not published for ZIP codes

By share White, not Hispanic

Share White, not HispanicChildren in single-parent households
Highest
ZIP 62056 (Montgomery County, IL)99%—
ZIP 47558 (Daviess County, IN)98.9%—
ZIP 47452 (Orange County, IN)98.7%—
ZIP 44627 (Holmes County, OH)98.6%—
ZIP 24609 (Tazewell County, VA)98.5%—
Lowest
ZIP 00952 (Sabana Seca comunidad, PR)0%—
ZIP 00782 (Comerío Municipio, PR)0%—
ZIP 00780 (Ponce Municipio, PR)0%—
ZIP 00731 (Ponce Municipio, PR)0%—
ZIP 00723 (Patillas Municipio, PR)0%—

Counties furthest from the pattern

Compared with the straight line that best fits all 2,823 counties: the five with far more children in single-parent households than their share White, not Hispanic would suggest, and the five with far less.

Share White, not HispanicChildren in single-parent households
Above the line
McCormick County, SC54.5%0.779%
Wilcox County, AL27.5%0.754%
Quitman County, GA47.8%0.693%
Foard County, TX70%0.626%
East Carroll Parish, LA29%0.746%
Below the line
Aleutians West Census Area, AK23.7%0.113%
Esmeralda County, NV65.2%0%
Jeff Davis County, TX66.7%0%
Conejos County, CO46.2%0.0997%
Manassas city, VA34.5%0.137%

Two series, one county

Both measures over time for a county you pick. The two charts are stacked, so they share only the years along the bottom. You can pick from the thirty largest counties reporting both. This panel covers 2010–2024, and a measure published only once shows as a single dot.

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Every version of the link

Each row measures the same link, from −1 to +1, in a different way. If the rows mostly agree, the link does not depend on one choice of method.

Before adjusting for anything-0.6012,813 counties reporting both
After adjusting for density, income and education-0.648the part of the link that is not just how urban, rich and educated a place is
Also adjusting for population size-0.664size taken out as well as density
Also comparing only within each state-0.569each county is compared only with others in its own state, so this is no longer a comparison between states
Giving bigger counties more weight-0.466the adjusted link for the average resident rather than the average county. With this weighting, the data counts for about 284 equally weighted counties
Middle value inside single states-0.504the link worked out inside each of 39 states with at least 20 counties reporting
Using ranks, after adjusting-0.573uses each county’s rank, not its value, so a few extreme counties cannot create the link

How much to believe it

Could it be chance?

The p-value is the chance of seeing a link this strong if there were really none. A value of 0.05 or less means the link is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 3.1e-16 means 0.00000000000000031, and the bigger the number after “e-”, the smaller the value. Treating every county as a separate case gives p = 0.000. But counties in the same state tend to resemble each other, so the better figure allows for that: p = 2.6e-10. The site tested 20,910 pairs, and testing so many turns up some flukes. The q-value allows for that too. For this pair it is 0.000.

Do nearby places look alike?

Moran’s I measures how much nearby places look alike: 0 means no map pattern, and higher means neighbours are more similar. For the part of each county that the adjustment leaves unexplained, it is +0.24 (p = 0.001). That unexplained part still clusters on the map. So some regional factor shared by both measures is not accounted for.

Did they change together?

The figures above compare counties at one moment. This asks a different question: where share white, not hispanic rose most, did children in single-parent householdsmove too? Each county’s change is compared with the average change in its own state. That takes out ups and downs that hit a whole region at once. Each change is the gap between two estimates that both contain some error. That error pulls these links towards zero, so a weak one is weak partly for that reason. The q column shows whether a link could be a fluke, allowing for the many pairs tested: 0.05 or less means it is unlikely to be chance.

PeriodCountiesChange togetherWithin statesq
2014–2019 the main test: each Census survey figure averages five years, and these two do not overlap; before the pandemic2,850-0.07-0.080.006
2019–2023 a repeat check: its two five-year survey figures both include 2019, and it covers the COVID years2,752-0.05-0.060.050

In counties where one changed more, the other tended to move the opposite way, compared with other counties in the same state (r = -0.08). The same holds in the second period. How change is measured.

Related pairs

Association only. Nothing here shows that either measure changes the other. This describes counties, not the people in them. Two measures going together across places does not mean the same people have both. How the US county data works · Explore Share White, not Hispanic and Children in single-parent households