Violent crime rate
Murders, rapes, robberies and aggravated assaults in the year, per 100,000 residents, from the FBI. It counts only crimes reported to police or found by them, so crimes nobody reports are missing. For a state, the figure is the FBI's estimate, which fills in for police agencies that did not report. For a county, it is only what the agencies reported, and it is shown only where agencies that reported for all 12 months serve at least 90% of the people who live there.
How it has moved
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Every state, every year
One row per state and one column per year, sorted by the latest value. It shows states, not counties: nobody can scan 3,222 rows, and the pattern only shows when it all fits on one screen.
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Where it comes from
FBI Uniform Crime Reporting program (Crime Data Explorer) · FBI Crime Data Explorer: states, estimated_crimes violent_crime; counties, Return A master file, actual offenses
Murder, rape, robbery and aggravated assault reported to police, per 100,000 residents, in the year. Counties are shown only where agencies that reported all year serve at least 90% of residents; states use the FBI's estimates.
Combining areas: an average weighted by UCR.POPULATION.
What it goes with
The strongest links that have a page of their own. Unadjusted is the link before adjusting for anything, from −1 (opposite) to +1 (in step). Adjusted compares places with the same population density, income and education levels, so those differences can’t explain the link. This list leaves out the 6 pairs built from the same numbers or the same model as this measure, since they are bound to match.
| Measure | Unadjusted | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|
| Violent crime rate and Homicide rateWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Homicide rate tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared. Homicide rate by US county | +0.62 | +0.56 |
| Violent crime rate and Homicide rate, annualWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Homicide rate, annual tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared. Homicide rate, annual by US county | +0.58 | +0.48 |
| Violent crime rate and Average test scoreWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Average test score tends to be lower: a moderate link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Average test score by US county | -0.41 | -0.44 |
| Violent crime rate and Share White, not HispanicWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Share White, not Hispanic tends to be lower: a moderate link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Share White, not Hispanic by US county | -0.46 | -0.43 |
| Violent crime rate and Housing insecurityWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Housing insecurity tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Housing insecurity by US county | +0.49 | +0.43 |
| Violent crime rate and Threat of utility shut-offWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Threat of utility shut-off tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Threat of utility shut-off by US county | +0.48 | +0.42 |
| Violent crime rate and Food insecurityWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Food insecurity tends to be higher: a moderate link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Food insecurity by US county | +0.46 | +0.41 |
| Violent crime rate and Lacking social and emotional supportWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Lacking social and emotional support tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Lacking social and emotional support by US county | +0.43 | +0.40 |
| Violent crime rate and Lack of reliable transportationWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Lack of reliable transportation tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Lack of reliable transportation by US county | +0.44 | +0.39 |
| Violent crime rate and Firearm fatalitiesWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Firearm fatalities tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Firearm fatalities by US county | +0.35 | +0.38 |
16 more pairs with violent crime rate have a page: Share Black, not Hispanic · Children in single-parent households · Homeownership rate · Black Protestant adherents · Cancer other than skin cancer · Share now married · Economic connectedness · Stroke · Republican share of the two-party vote, 2016 · Republican share of the two-party vote, 2024 · Republican share of the two-party vote, 2020 · Share never married · Child mortality · Self-care disability · Fair or poor self-rated health · Returns claiming the earned income credit.
Population makeup
How this measure varies with the racial and ethnic makeup of counties. Every group is shown, whatever its rank. These are links across counties: they describe places, not people. They say nothing about any person’s risk or behaviour based on their race. Counties with a larger share of one group also differ in much else, such as income, segregation, region and history. The adjusted figure only accounts for density, income and education.
| Share of residents | Unadjusted | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|
| Violent crime rate and Share White, not HispanicWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Share White, not Hispanic tends to be lower: a moderate link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Share White, not Hispanic by US county | -0.46 | -0.43 |
| Violent crime rate and Share Black, not HispanicWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Share Black, not Hispanic tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Share Black, not Hispanic by US county | +0.46 | +0.37 |
| Violent crime rate and Share Hispanic or Latino, any raceWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Share Hispanic or Latino, any race tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Share Hispanic or Latino, any race by US county | +0.12 | +0.18 |
| Violent crime rate and Share Asian, not HispanicWhere Violent crime rate is higher, Share Asian, not Hispanic tends to be higher: a weak link that holds when only places with similar density, income and education are compared, and inside states as well. Share Asian, not Hispanic by US county | +0.13 | +0.17 |
| Violent crime rate and Share American Indian or Alaska Native, not HispanicCould easily be chance once only places with similar density, income and education are compared. Share American Indian or Alaska Native, not Hispanic by US county | +0.01 | +0.10 |
Highest and lowest
Of 2,289 counties reporting it. These are the two ends of a national ranking. For most measures, that ranking mostly sorts places by income and how urban they are. That is why the place pages compare each place with similar places instead.
Highest
- Shelby County, TN — 1,876
- Crittenden County, AR — 1,764
- Baltimore city, MD — 1,694
- St. Louis city, MO — 1,457
- Robeson County, NC — 1,421
Lowest
The middle area reports 213. The middle half of counties falls between 122 and 330 (the 25th to 75th percentile).
US Counties With the Highest Violent Crime Rates · US Counties With the Lowest Violent Crime Rates
All measures · Explore its pairs · How the US county data works