placestats

Fixed broadband vs. Population 65+

Holds up after adjusting for income

Across 196 countries, Fixed broadband and Population 65+ rise and fall together at r = +0.83 (on a scale from −1 to +1, where 0 means no link). Comparing only countries with similar income (GDP per person) shrinks it to +0.58 (q = 0.012, allowing for the many pairs tested). Much of the first figure is that both measures rise with national income, but a moderate positive link remains.

Comparing countries across the middle half of population 65+, 4.02% to 17.1% of population, fixed broadband is better by 23.8 per 100 people at the top of that range than the bottom. Comparing only countries with similar national income, the gap is 13.9 per 100 people.

Link before adjusting (r)+0.826p = 3.5e-50 · 196 countries
After adjusting for national income+0.579p = 7.6e-19 · likely range [+0.48, +0.67]
p, allowing for regions0.003standard error 0.116 · 7 regions
Check for luck (q)0.012across 12,497 pairs

How to read these.r runs from −1 (one goes up as the other goes down) to +1 (they rise together), and 0 means no link. Adjusting for national income means comparing countries with the same GDP per person, so differences in wealth can’t explain the link. Income is used in percentage terms, since an extra $1,000 means more to a poor country than to a rich one. p is how likely a link this strong would be if there were really none. Below 0.05 means it is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 1.1e-32 means a decimal point followed by 31 zeros and then 11, so very close to zero. The likely range is where the true figure probably lies, and a range that crosses zero means the link could easily be chance. Countries in the same region tend to resemble each other, so the third figure allows for that, which gives a fairer p. The standard error is the typical size of the error in r. Finally, testing this many pairs means some will look strong by luck alone. A q below 0.05 means this link is unlikely to be one of those.

Fixed broadband · per 100 peoplelink with income +0.88 · proxy
Population 65+ · % of populationlink with income +0.76 · high

Both of these rise and fall closely with national income, so a strong link between them before adjusting was close to certain. Read the adjusted figure, not the first one.

“Link with income” is how closely each measure tracks GDP per person across countries, from −1 to +1.

Every country as a dot

Fixed broadband · per 100 people →Population 65+ · % of population →056.41.7%30%Aruba: 17.5 per 100 people, 17.8% of populationAfghanistan: 0.0801 per 100 people, 2.43% of populationAngola: 0.363 per 100 people, 2.89% of populationAlbania: 24.9 per 100 people, 17.6% of populationAndorra: 52.4 per 100 people, 16.6% of populationUnited Arab Emirates: 40.8 per 100 people, 1.79% of populationArgentina: 26.1 per 100 people, 12.6% of populationArmenia: 20.3 per 100 people, 14.4% of populationAntigua and Barbuda: 10.7 per 100 people, 12.3% of populationAustralia: 36.5 per 100 people, 18.1% of populationAustria: 30.1 per 100 people, 21.1% of populationAzerbaijan: 21.8 per 100 people, 9.17% of populationBurundi: 0.0203 per 100 people, 2.55% of populationBelgium: 44.2 per 100 people, 21% of populationBenin: 0.277 per 100 people, 3.15% of populationBurkina Faso: 0.851 per 100 people, 2.68% of populationBangladesh: 8.09 per 100 people, 6.67% of populationBulgaria: 37 per 100 people, 22.2% of populationBahrain: 17 per 100 people, 4.02% of populationBahamas, The: 25.3 per 100 people, 12.1% of populationBosnia and Herzegovina: 29.4 per 100 people, 22.9% of populationBelarus: 36.3 per 100 people, 18.3% of populationBelize: 9.75 per 100 people, 5.23% of populationBermuda: 51.3 per 100 people, 22.6% of populationBolivia: 12.1 per 100 people, 5.74% of populationBrazil: 24.1 per 100 people, 11.5% of populationBarbados: 37.5 per 100 people, 17.1% of populationBrunei Darussalam: 21.2 per 100 people, 7.24% of populationBhutan: 2.92 per 100 people, 6.63% of populationBotswana: 7.44 per 100 people, 4.08% of populationCentral African Republic: 0.0161 per 100 people, 2.2% of populationCanada: 42.5 per 100 people, 20.3% of populationSwitzerland: 47 per 100 people, 20.4% of populationChile: 23.7 per 100 people, 14.6% of populationChina: 47.2 per 100 people, 14.9% of populationCote d'Ivoire: 1.6 per 100 people, 2.65% of populationCameroon: 2.13 per 100 people, 2.82% of populationCongo, Dem. Rep.: 0.032 per 100 people, 3.08% of populationCongo, Rep.: 1.27 per 100 people, 3.06% of populationColombia: 17.2 per 100 people, 10.2% of populationComoros: 0.388 per 100 people, 4.45% of populationCabo Verde: 8.31 per 100 people, 7.15% of populationCosta Rica: 23.3 per 100 people, 12.8% of populationCuracao: 31.5 per 100 people, 17.3% of populationCayman Islands: 56.4 per 100 people, 9.51% of populationCyprus: 37.6 per 100 people, 14.9% of populationCzechia: 38.9 per 100 people, 21.2% of populationGermany: 45.6 per 100 people, 23.7% of populationDjibouti: 1.47 per 100 people, 4.97% of populationDominica: 20.9 per 100 people, 13.2% of populationDenmark: 43.4 per 100 people, 21.1% of populationDominican Republic: 11.2 per 100 people, 8.19% of populationAlgeria: 13.3 per 100 people, 6.81% of populationEcuador: 17.2 per 100 people, 8.6% of populationEgypt, Arab Rep.: 11.7 per 100 people, 5.27% of populationSpain: 39.2 per 100 people, 21.6% of populationEstonia: 35.4 per 100 people, 21.8% of populationEthiopia: 0.594 per 100 people, 3.3% of populationFinland: 36.5 per 100 people, 24.2% of populationFiji: 1.8 per 100 people, 6.63% of populationFrance: 48.9 per 100 people, 22.5% of populationFaroe Islands: 34.6 per 100 people, 17.8% of populationMicronesia, Fed. Sts.: 5.82 per 100 people, 6.18% of populationGabon: 4.69 per 100 people, 4.13% of populationUnited Kingdom: 42.2 per 100 people, 19.7% of populationGeorgia: 30.4 per 100 people, 16% of populationGhana: 0.665 per 100 people, 3.79% of populationGuinea: 0.00628 per 100 people, 3.47% of populationGambia, The: 0.519 per 100 people, 3.18% of populationGuinea-Bissau: 0.386 per 100 people, 3.24% of populationEquatorial Guinea: 0.101 per 100 people, 3.76% of populationGreece: 44.7 per 100 people, 24.4% of populationGrenada: 29.8 per 100 people, 12.6% of populationGreenland: 32 per 100 people, 11.5% of populationGuatemala: 5.34 per 100 people, 4.96% of populationGuyana: 12.9 per 100 people, 6.98% of populationHong Kong SAR, China: 40.3 per 100 people, 23.7% of populationHonduras: 4.58 per 100 people, 4.54% of populationCroatia: 29.6 per 100 people, 23.6% of populationHaiti: 0.307 per 100 people, 4.79% of populationHungary: 37.5 per 100 people, 21.2% of populationIndonesia: 4.92 per 100 people, 7.54% of populationIndia: 3.15 per 100 people, 7.38% of populationIreland: 32.3 per 100 people, 16.2% of populationIran, Islamic Rep.: 12.1 per 100 people, 8.58% of populationIraq: 17.6 per 100 people, 3.45% of populationIceland: 37.5 per 100 people, 16% of populationIsrael: 29.2 per 100 people, 12.7% of populationItaly: 31.8 per 100 people, 25.1% of populationJamaica: 16 per 100 people, 8.58% of populationJordan: 7.02 per 100 people, 4.75% of populationJapan: 38.6 per 100 people, 30% of populationKazakhstan: 15.3 per 100 people, 9% of populationKenya: 3.04 per 100 people, 3.02% of populationKyrgyz Republic: 7.8 per 100 people, 5.97% of populationCambodia: 4.15 per 100 people, 6.38% of populationKiribati: 0.0349 per 100 people, 4.38% of populationSt. Kitts and Nevis: 46.7 per 100 people, 11.7% of populationKorea, Rep.: 47.8 per 100 people, 20.3% of populationKuwait: 1.01 per 100 people, 3.17% of populationLao PDR: 2.72 per 100 people, 4.81% of populationLebanon: 7.29 per 100 people, 10.4% of populationLiberia: 0.275 per 100 people, 3.33% of populationLibya: 4.52 per 100 people, 5.19% of populationSt. Lucia: 13.6 per 100 people, 9.96% of populationSri Lanka: 8.47 per 100 people, 12.5% of populationLesotho: 0.379 per 100 people, 3.88% of populationLithuania: 27.8 per 100 people, 20.7% of populationLuxembourg: 40.3 per 100 people, 15.8% of populationLatvia: 25.8 per 100 people, 22.2% of populationMacao SAR, China: 29.9 per 100 people, 15.1% of populationMorocco: 7.3 per 100 people, 8.45% of populationMoldova: 29.6 per 100 people, 16.9% of populationMadagascar: 0.124 per 100 people, 3.47% of populationMaldives: 19.6 per 100 people, 4.96% of populationMexico: 21.7 per 100 people, 8.52% of populationMarshall Islands: 2.35 per 100 people, 4.88% of populationNorth Macedonia: 29.9 per 100 people, 18.5% of populationMali: 0.774 per 100 people, 2.36% of populationMalta: 44.5 per 100 people, 20.5% of populationMyanmar: 2.87 per 100 people, 7.52% of populationMontenegro: 32.3 per 100 people, 18.3% of populationMongolia: 15.8 per 100 people, 5.43% of populationMozambique: 0.142 per 100 people, 2.73% of populationMauritania: 0.947 per 100 people, 3.25% of populationMauritius: 28 per 100 people, 14.1% of populationMalawi: 0.0864 per 100 people, 2.59% of populationMalaysia: 13.5 per 100 people, 8.03% of populationNamibia: 2.83 per 100 people, 3.79% of populationNiger: 0.111 per 100 people, 2.62% of populationNigeria: 0.0787 per 100 people, 3.07% of populationNicaragua: 5.78 per 100 people, 5.7% of populationNetherlands: 43 per 100 people, 20.9% of populationNorway: 45.2 per 100 people, 19.1% of populationNepal: 10.1 per 100 people, 6.62% of populationNaoero: 9.96 per 100 people, 3.01% of populationNew Zealand: 38 per 100 people, 17.6% of populationOman: 11.1 per 100 people, 2.69% of populationPakistan: 1.47 per 100 people, 4.36% of populationPanama: 18.1 per 100 people, 9.66% of populationPeru: 11.7 per 100 people, 9.47% of populationPhilippines: 7.14 per 100 people, 5.72% of populationPalau: 7.33 per 100 people, 11.8% of populationPapua New Guinea: 0.233 per 100 people, 3.59% of populationPoland: 25.4 per 100 people, 20.8% of populationPuerto Rico (US): 28 per 100 people, 25.3% of populationPortugal: 45.2 per 100 people, 24.9% of populationParaguay: 12.9 per 100 people, 6.72% of populationWest Bank and Gaza: 8.16 per 100 people, 3.85% of populationQatar: 11.8 per 100 people, 1.7% of populationRomania: 35.8 per 100 people, 20.1% of populationRussian Federation: 27.1 per 100 people, 17.8% of populationRwanda: 0.596 per 100 people, 4.02% of populationSaudi Arabia: 44.1 per 100 people, 3.06% of populationSudan: 0.0604 per 100 people, 3.39% of populationSenegal: 4.04 per 100 people, 3.65% of populationSingapore: 27.8 per 100 people, 14.2% of populationSolomon Islands: 0.107 per 100 people, 3.67% of populationSierra Leone: 0.00227 per 100 people, 3.28% of populationEl Salvador: 12.5 per 100 people, 8.31% of populationSan Marino: 35.8 per 100 people, 23.1% of populationSomalia, Fed. Rep.: 0.723 per 100 people, 2.62% of populationSerbia: 33.4 per 100 people, 23.1% of populationSao Tome and Principe: 2.99 per 100 people, 3.94% of populationSuriname: 18.8 per 100 people, 8.19% of populationSlovak Republic: 33.8 per 100 people, 19% of populationSlovenia: 34.2 per 100 people, 22.2% of populationSweden: 40.6 per 100 people, 20.9% of populationEswatini: 2.51 per 100 people, 4.35% of populationSeychelles: 31.6 per 100 people, 8.75% of populationSyrian Arab Republic: 6.86 per 100 people, 4.84% of populationChad: 0 per 100 people, 2.12% of populationTogo: 1.42 per 100 people, 3.48% of populationThailand: 14.9 per 100 people, 16% of populationTajikistan: 0.984 per 100 people, 4.07% of populationTurkmenistan: 5.22 per 100 people, 4.81% of populationTimor-Leste: 0.006 per 100 people, 5.23% of populationTonga: 8.17 per 100 people, 6.85% of populationTrinidad and Tobago: 27 per 100 people, 12.9% of populationTunisia: 15 per 100 people, 9.94% of populationTurkiye: 23.4 per 100 people, 10.6% of populationTuvalu: 4.52 per 100 people, 7.04% of populationTanzania: 0.246 per 100 people, 3.04% of populationUganda: 0.208 per 100 people, 2.23% of populationUkraine: 21.7 per 100 people, 19% of populationUruguay: 33 per 100 people, 16.3% of populationUnited States: 38.9 per 100 people, 18.4% of populationUzbekistan: 34.7 per 100 people, 6.07% of populationSt. Vincent and the Grenadines: 29.5 per 100 people, 12.3% of populationVirgin Islands (U.S.): 10.1 per 100 people, 23.1% of populationViet Nam: 23.7 per 100 people, 9.49% of populationVanuatu: 1.16 per 100 people, 4.38% of populationSamoa: 0.878 per 100 people, 6.07% of populationSouth Africa: 5.35 per 100 people, 6.89% of populationZambia: 0.79 per 100 people, 2% of populationZimbabwe: 1.94 per 100 people, 3.56% of populationAREBMUCAFCYMJPNPRIPRTSAUTCDUGAVIR

best-fit line line after adjusting

Four ways to measure the link

MethodrpCountries
Standard (Pearson), not adjusted+0.8263.5e-50196
By rank (Spearman), not adjusted+0.8345.0e-52196
Standard (Pearson), adjusted for national income+0.5797.6e-19196
By rank (Spearman), adjusted for national income+0.5384.9e-16196

The rank version uses only each country’s place in line, from lowest to highest, so a few extreme countries count for less. The adjusted and unadjusted versions use the same 196 countries: those that report both measures and GDP per person. So the gap between them comes from the adjustment, not from a change in which countries are counted. Drop in the size of r after adjusting: +0.247 (a minus sign means it grew).

How solid is it?

Leaving out one country at a time, r ranges from +0.554 (without QAT) to +0.611 (without CYM). The bar above shows that range on a scale from −1 to +1, with the solid line at the full result. The single country that moves r most: CYM (+0.032).

Within each region

Countries are not separate, unrelated cases, and neighbors share a lot. A link that holds inside each region is far more believable than one that shows up only when comparing regions.

nr
East Asia & Pacific31+0.65
Europe & Central Asia52+0.48
Latin America & Caribbean36+0.17
Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan22+0.39
Sub-Saharan Africa46+0.78

By income third

If the link shows up only in the richest third of countries, it is a feature of rich countries, not a general pattern.

nr
Poorest third66+0.57
Middle third65+0.49
Richest third65+0.55

By largest religious group

Countries grouped by a label they share, such as main religion, rather than by a number. Groups of fewer than twelve countries are not shown. These groups differ in income, region and history all at once. So a gap between them is a place to start asking questions, not an answer.

nr
Christians112+0.68
Muslims49+0.30

By last european coloniser

Countries grouped by a label they share, such as main religion, rather than by a number. Groups of fewer than twelve countries are not shown. These groups differ in income, region and history all at once. So a gap between them is a place to start asking questions, not an answer.

nr
France25+0.65
Never a European colony21+0.39
Spain20+0.82
United Kingdom63+0.64

Without outliers (countries far outside the middle half of countries on either measure, by more than one and a half times the width of that middle half): r = +0.579 after dropping 0 countries.

Two series, one country

Both measures over the years for one country you pick. The two charts are stacked so they share only the years along the bottom.

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Over time, within countries

Everything above compares countries with each other at one moment. This section compares each country only with itself over 27years. So a link here can’t come from anything about a country that stays the same, such as its history, geography, institutions or culture.

The link also shows up within countries over time (r = +0.411). It holds even when looking only at changes from one year to the next (r = +0.138). This is the strongest kind of evidence available here: it holds when each country is compared only with itself, and it is not just a product of shared trends.

Across countries (adjusted)+0.579for comparison
Within countries+0.732each country vs itself
…and vs the same year elsewhere+0.411q = 0.000 · 206 countries
Year-on-year changes+0.138q = 0.000
Read with care.
  • Almost all of this indicator's variation is between countries, not within them, so the within-country estimate rests on a small part of the data.
  • Much of the within-country association disappears once shared global year effects are removed, which points to a common worldwide trend rather than a country-level relationship.
  • The association is much weaker in year-on-year changes than in levels, which points to shared country-specific trends.

4,325 country-years (one country in one year), 206 countries, 1998–2024, about 21 years each on average. Share of the variation that happens within countries over time: 6% for Fixed broadband, 35% for Population 65+. The margins of error allow for each country appearing many times, and for each year’s value being close to the year before.

Year-to-year changes are a cautious test, not a final answer. Looking only at changes from one year to the next removes each country’s own trends. But it also makes measurement mistakes louder, which pulls the results toward zero. A near-zero result here is weak evidence of no link, not proof.

With one measure years behind the other

0.60−0.6-100+10years Population 65+ trails Fixed broadband →lag -10: r = 0.323 (n = 4,301)lag -9: r = 0.317 (n = 4,315)lag -8: r = 0.315 (n = 4,325)lag -7: r = 0.317 (n = 4,325)lag -6: r = 0.322 (n = 4,325)lag -5: r = 0.330 (n = 4,325)lag -4: r = 0.342 (n = 4,325)lag -3: r = 0.355 (n = 4,325)lag -2: r = 0.372 (n = 4,325)lag -1: r = 0.391 (n = 4,325)lag +0: r = 0.411 (n = 4,325)lag +1: r = 0.431 (n = 4,325)lag +2: r = 0.447 (n = 4,174)lag +3: r = 0.458 (n = 4,005)lag +4: r = 0.477 (n = 3,800)lag +5: r = 0.491 (n = 3,597)lag +6: r = 0.502 (n = 3,397)lag +7: r = 0.513 (n = 3,195)lag +8: r = 0.505 (n = 3,013)lag +9: r = 0.499 (n = 2,808)lag +10: r = 0.481 (n = 2,602)

Same year (lag 0): +0.411. A peak away from zero does not show which comes first. These series change slowly — this year’s value is close to last year’s. That makes the curve smooth and nearly symmetric, whatever produced the data. Even a sharp peak at one lag (a gap of some years) would not prove that one measure changes the other.

The largest value on this curve (+0.51 at lag +7) is higher than the same-year one by 0.10. That gap is not a finding. It is the largest of 21 closely related estimates, and picking the biggest of many tests always makes it look bigger. That is exactly why nothing on this site is ranked or chosen by lag.

The data


per 100 people
% of population		Years
Cayman Islands CYM56.49.51%2022, 2025
Andorra AND52.416.6%2024, 2025
Bermuda BMU51.322.6%2024, 2025
France FRA48.922.5%2024, 2025
Korea, Rep. KOR47.820.3%2024, 2025
China CHN47.214.9%2024, 2025
Switzerland CHE4720.4%2024, 2025
St. Kitts and Nevis KNA46.711.7%2022, 2025
Germany DEU45.623.7%2024, 2025
Portugal PRT45.224.9%2024, 2025
Norway NOR45.219.1%2024, 2025
Greece GRC44.724.4%2024, 2025
Malta MLT44.520.5%2024, 2025
Belgium BEL44.221%2024, 2025
Saudi Arabia SAU44.13.06%2024, 2025

World Bank, World Development Indicators
World Bank, World Development Indicators

Sources

Fixed broadband

Fixed broadband subscriptions (per 100 people)

International Telecommunication Union · CC BY 4.0 · updated quarterly

Subscriptions, not people. A household line counts once, however many people use it. A country that went straight to mobile data can be well connected with few of these lines. Internet users, already on the site, is the measure of people.

Population 65+

Population ages 65 and above (% of total)

World Bank · CC BY 4.0 · updated quarterly

How this was computed

Data used: most recent value in 2010-2025; values come from 2021–2025. To adjust for income, each measure is first predicted from GDP per person (in percentage terms, on a log scale) with a straight-line fit. Only what is left over is then compared. This is called a partial correlation. The line is drawn the standard way (ordinary least squares), which picks the line that comes closest to all the countries at once. The error margins allow for countries in the same region resembling each other, using 7 World Bank regions. The q-value corrects for testing all 12,497 pairs at once, using the Benjamini–Hochberg method. Underlying data last updated DYB 2024. How the country data works · explore Fixed broadband and Population 65+

This page shows that two measures go together. It does not show that Fixed broadband changes Population 65+, or the reverse. These figures also describe countries, not individual people. See the ecological fallacy.

More links with Fixed broadband or Population 65+