placestats

Education score vs. Ethnic diversity

Holds up after adjusting for income

Across 146 countries, Education score and Ethnic diversity rise and fall together at r = -0.47 (on a scale from −1 to +1, where 0 means no link). Comparing only countries with similar income (GDP per person) shrinks it to -0.30 (q = 0.032, allowing for the many pairs tested). Much of the first figure is that both measures rise with national income, but a weak negative link remains.

Comparing countries across the middle half of ethnic diversity, 0.243 to 0.703 points, education score is worse by 0.588 typical gaps at the top of that range than the bottom. Comparing only countries with similar national income, the gap is 0.205 typical gaps.

Link before adjusting (r)-0.469p = 2.3e-9 · 146 countries
After adjusting for national income-0.295p = 0.000 · likely range [-0.44, -0.14]
p, allowing for regions0.004standard error 0.066 · 7 regions
Check for luck (q)0.032across 13,797 pairs

How to read these.r runs from −1 (one goes up as the other goes down) to +1 (they rise together), and 0 means no link. Adjusting for national income means comparing countries with the same GDP per person, so differences in wealth can’t explain the link. Income is used in percentage terms, since an extra $1,000 means more to a poor country than to a rich one. p is how likely a link this strong would be if there were really none. Below 0.05 means it is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 1.1e-32 means a decimal point followed by 31 zeros and then 11, so very close to zero. The likely range is where the true figure probably lies, and a range that crosses zero means the link could easily be chance. Countries in the same region tend to resemble each other, so the third figure allows for that, which gives a fairer p. The standard error is the typical size of the error in r. Finally, testing this many pairs means some will look strong by luck alone. A q below 0.05 means this link is unlikely to be one of those.

Education score · typical gaps (standard deviations)link with income +0.81 · proxy
Ethnic diversity · index, 0 to 1link with income -0.37 · moderate

“Link with income” is how closely each measure tracks GDP per person across countries, from −1 to +1.

Every country as a dot

Education score · typical gaps (standard deviations) →Ethnic diversity · index, 0 to 1 →-2.11.440.0190.889Afghanistan: -0.557 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.763 index, 0 to 1Angola: -0.482 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.779 index, 0 to 1Albania: 0.923 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.139 index, 0 to 1United Arab Emirates: 0.911 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.684 index, 0 to 1Argentina: 1.03 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.158 index, 0 to 1Armenia: 0.65 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.045 index, 0 to 1Australia: 1.03 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.276 index, 0 to 1Austria: 1 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.248 index, 0 to 1Azerbaijan: 0.629 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.122 index, 0 to 1Burundi: -0.587 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.308 index, 0 to 1Belgium: 1.25 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.592 index, 0 to 1Benin: -0.586 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.764 index, 0 to 1Burkina Faso: -0.582 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.767 index, 0 to 1Bangladesh: 0.335 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.025 index, 0 to 1Bulgaria: 0.794 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.289 index, 0 to 1Bahrain: 0.537 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.582 index, 0 to 1Bosnia and Herzegovina: 0.607 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.637 index, 0 to 1Belarus: 0.722 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.309 index, 0 to 1Bolivia: 0.634 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.572 index, 0 to 1Brazil: 0.731 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.559 index, 0 to 1Bhutan: 0.277 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.651 index, 0 to 1Botswana: 0.469 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.395 index, 0 to 1Central African Republic: -1.65 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.79 index, 0 to 1Canada: 1.06 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.73 index, 0 to 1Switzerland: 0.92 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.367 index, 0 to 1Chile: 0.979 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.439 index, 0 to 1China: 0.674 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.19 index, 0 to 1Cote d'Ivoire: -0.0434 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.731 index, 0 to 1Congo, Dem. Rep.: -0.251 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.7 index, 0 to 1Congo, Rep.: 0.119 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.704 index, 0 to 1Colombia: 0.63 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.639 index, 0 to 1Comoros: 0.00771 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.054 index, 0 to 1Cabo Verde: -0.216 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.442 index, 0 to 1Costa Rica: 0.629 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.398 index, 0 to 1Cyprus: 1.02 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.347 index, 0 to 1Czechia: 1.08 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.262 index, 0 to 1Djibouti: -0.825 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.649 index, 0 to 1Denmark: 0.941 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.177 index, 0 to 1Dominican Republic: 0.651 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.453 index, 0 to 1Algeria: 0.663 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.372 index, 0 to 1Ecuador: 0.722 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.528 index, 0 to 1Egypt, Arab Rep.: 0.489 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.041 index, 0 to 1Spain: 0.983 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.669 index, 0 to 1Estonia: 0.841 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.458 index, 0 to 1Ethiopia: -0.777 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.783 index, 0 to 1Finland: 1.02 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.138 index, 0 to 1Fiji: 0.887 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.528 index, 0 to 1Gabon: -0.00264 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.789 index, 0 to 1United Kingdom: 1.19 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.399 index, 0 to 1Georgia: 0.697 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.367 index, 0 to 1Ghana: 0.168 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.736 index, 0 to 1Guinea: -0.598 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.727 index, 0 to 1Gambia, The: -0.345 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.762 index, 0 to 1Guinea-Bissau: -1.3 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.808 index, 0 to 1Greece: 1.31 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.167 index, 0 to 1Guatemala: 0.22 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.511 index, 0 to 1Guyana: 0.39 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.695 index, 0 to 1Honduras: 0.0516 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.229 index, 0 to 1Croatia: 0.985 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.171 index, 0 to 1Hungary: 0.83 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.232 index, 0 to 1Indonesia: 0.591 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.803 index, 0 to 1Ireland: 1.18 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.174 index, 0 to 1Iran, Islamic Rep.: 0.667 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.743 index, 0 to 1Iraq: -0.133 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.446 index, 0 to 1Israel: 0.804 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.376 index, 0 to 1Italy: 0.94 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.11 index, 0 to 1Jamaica: 0.446 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.21 index, 0 to 1Jordan: 0.68 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.044 index, 0 to 1Japan: 1.04 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.019 index, 0 to 1Kazakhstan: 0.74 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.538 index, 0 to 1Kenya: 0.0734 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.855 index, 0 to 1Kyrgyz Republic: 0.764 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.487 index, 0 to 1Cambodia: 0.174 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.158 index, 0 to 1Korea, Rep.: 1.03 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.095 index, 0 to 1Kuwait: 0.25 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.765 index, 0 to 1Lao PDR: -0.35 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.634 index, 0 to 1Lebanon: 0.088 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.133 index, 0 to 1Liberia: -1.22 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.889 index, 0 to 1Sri Lanka: 0.421 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.323 index, 0 to 1Lesotho: -0.337 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.313 index, 0 to 1Lithuania: 0.928 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.284 index, 0 to 1Latvia: 0.923 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.547 index, 0 to 1Morocco: 0.345 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.566 index, 0 to 1Moldova: 0.734 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.427 index, 0 to 1Madagascar: -0.569 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.194 index, 0 to 1Mexico: 0.636 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.587 index, 0 to 1North Macedonia: 0.658 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.562 index, 0 to 1Mali: -1.24 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.852 index, 0 to 1Myanmar: -0.0676 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.59 index, 0 to 1Mongolia: 0.749 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.315 index, 0 to 1Mauritania: -0.911 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.713 index, 0 to 1Mauritius: 0.621 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.466 index, 0 to 1Malawi: -0.546 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.791 index, 0 to 1Malaysia: 0.529 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.57 index, 0 to 1Namibia: 0.228 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.76 index, 0 to 1Niger: -1.04 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.666 index, 0 to 1Nigeria: -0.241 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.85 index, 0 to 1Nicaragua: 0.168 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.544 index, 0 to 1Netherlands: 1.27 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.354 index, 0 to 1Norway: 1 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.151 index, 0 to 1Nepal: 0.452 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.86 index, 0 to 1New Zealand: 1.44 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.485 index, 0 to 1Oman: 0.293 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.597 index, 0 to 1Pakistan: -0.556 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.748 index, 0 to 1Panama: 0.393 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.612 index, 0 to 1Peru: 0.773 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.618 index, 0 to 1Philippines: 0.548 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.807 index, 0 to 1Poland: 0.952 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.069 index, 0 to 1Portugal: 1.02 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.22 index, 0 to 1Paraguay: 0.452 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.179 index, 0 to 1Qatar: 0.734 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.708 index, 0 to 1Romania: 0.584 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.207 index, 0 to 1Russian Federation: 0.85 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.376 index, 0 to 1Rwanda: -0.127 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.28 index, 0 to 1Saudi Arabia: 0.8 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.224 index, 0 to 1Sudan: -0.831 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.746 index, 0 to 1Senegal: -0.815 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.747 index, 0 to 1Singapore: 1.26 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.395 index, 0 to 1Solomon Islands: -0.0603 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.097 index, 0 to 1Sierra Leone: -0.279 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.801 index, 0 to 1El Salvador: 0.37 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.165 index, 0 to 1Somalia, Fed. Rep.: -2.1 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.222 index, 0 to 1Serbia: 0.761 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.396 index, 0 to 1Slovak Republic: 0.801 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.241 index, 0 to 1Slovenia: 1.18 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.258 index, 0 to 1Sweden: 0.968 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.219 index, 0 to 1Eswatini: 0.404 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.39 index, 0 to 1Syrian Arab Republic: -0.332 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.213 index, 0 to 1Chad: -1.2 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.855 index, 0 to 1Togo: 0.075 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.88 index, 0 to 1Thailand: 0.764 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.352 index, 0 to 1Tajikistan: 0.525 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.367 index, 0 to 1Turkmenistan: 0.598 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.255 index, 0 to 1Timor-Leste: 0.12 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.802 index, 0 to 1Trinidad and Tobago: 0.581 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.655 index, 0 to 1Tunisia: 0.496 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.034 index, 0 to 1Turkiye: 1.03 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.521 index, 0 to 1Tanzania: -0.351 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.591 index, 0 to 1Uganda: -0.832 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.883 index, 0 to 1Ukraine: 0.784 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.37 index, 0 to 1Uruguay: 0.9 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.176 index, 0 to 1United States: 1.11 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.527 index, 0 to 1Uzbekistan: 0.848 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.313 index, 0 to 1South Africa: 0.665 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.856 index, 0 to 1Zambia: -0.123 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.706 index, 0 to 1Zimbabwe: 0.181 typical gaps (standard deviations), 0.415 index, 0 to 1BELCAFCANCOMGRCJPNKORLBRMDGMLISOMZAF

best-fit line line after adjusting

Four ways to measure the link

MethodrpCountries
Standard (Pearson), not adjusted-0.4692.3e-9146
By rank (Spearman), not adjusted-0.4855.3e-10146
Standard (Pearson), adjusted for national income-0.2950.000146
By rank (Spearman), adjusted for national income-0.3170.000146

The rank version uses only each country’s place in line, from lowest to highest, so a few extreme countries count for less. The adjusted and unadjusted versions use the same 146 countries: those that report both measures and GDP per person. So the gap between them comes from the adjustment, not from a change in which countries are counted. Drop in the size of r after adjusting: +0.174 (a minus sign means it grew).

How solid is it?

Leaving out one country at a time, r ranges from -0.368 (without SOM) to -0.276 (without GUY). The bar above shows that range on a scale from −1 to +1, with the solid line at the full result. The single country that moves r most: SOM (-0.073).

Within each region

Countries are not separate, unrelated cases, and neighbors share a lot. A link that holds inside each region is far more believable than one that shows up only when comparing regions.

nr
East Asia & Pacific17-0.07
Europe & Central Asia43+0.05
Latin America & Caribbean20-0.19
Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan19-0.50
Sub-Saharan Africa41-0.24

By income third

If the link shows up only in the richest third of countries, it is a feature of rich countries, not a general pattern.

nr
Poorest third49-0.31
Middle third48-0.08
Richest third49-0.43

By largest religious group

Countries grouped by a label they share, such as main religion, rather than by a number. Groups of fewer than twelve countries are not shown. These groups differ in income, region and history all at once. So a gap between them is a place to start asking questions, not an answer.

nr
Christians83-0.24
Muslims45-0.41

By last european coloniser

Countries grouped by a label they share, such as main religion, rather than by a number. Groups of fewer than twelve countries are not shown. These groups differ in income, region and history all at once. So a gap between them is a place to start asking questions, not an answer.

nr
France22-0.54
Never a European colony21-0.30
Spain18+0.03
United Kingdom43-0.23

Without outliers (countries far outside the middle half of countries on either measure, by more than one and a half times the width of that middle half): r = -0.368 after dropping 2 countries.

Two series, one country

Both measures over the years for one country you pick. The two charts are stacked so they share only the years along the bottom.

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Over time, within countries

Everything above compares countries with each other at one moment. This section compares each country only with itself over 0years. So a link here can’t come from anything about a country that stays the same, such as its history, geography, institutions or culture.

Not enough history inside each country to look at this over time. That needs countries measured for several years in a row, and at least one of these measures is measured too rarely.

The data


typical gaps (standard deviations)

index, 0 to 1
Years
New Zealand NZL1.440.4852023, 2013
Greece GRC1.310.1672023, 2013
Netherlands NLD1.270.3542023, 2013
Singapore SGP1.260.3952023, 2013
Belgium BEL1.250.5922023, 2013
United Kingdom GBR1.190.3992023, 2013
Ireland IRL1.180.1742022, 2013
Slovenia SVN1.180.2582023, 2013
United States USA1.110.5272022, 2013
Czechia CZE1.080.2622023, 2013
Canada CAN1.060.732023, 2013
Japan JPN1.040.0192023, 2013
Argentina ARG1.030.1582023, 2013
Australia AUS1.030.2762024, 2013
Korea, Rep. KOR1.030.0952024, 2013

uis; undp_hdr; wdi
Drazanova, L. (2019), Historical Index of Ethnic Fractionalization Dataset (HIEF), Harvard Dataverse, doi:10.7910/DVN/4JQRCL

Sources

Education score

Education score

PlaceStats · via PlaceStats · Derived work; each member keeps its own licence · updated recomputed with the panel

The average of 10 measures from 3 publishers. Each measure is first put on a common scale: 0 is the average country in an average year, and 1 is a typical gap between countries (a standard deviation). Each is turned so that higher is better. Measures are averaged within each publisher first, so a publisher with many measures does not count for more. Members: Primary completion, Expected schooling, Mean years of schooling, Adult literacy, Pupil-teacher ratio, Primary enrollment, Out of school, primary, Secondary enrollment, Tertiary enrollment, Researchers.

Ethnic diversity

Ethnic fractionalization index

Lenka Drazanova · CC0 1.0 · updated one edition (2019), annual values 1945-2013

The chance that two people picked at random in a country belong to different ethnic groups, from 0 (everyone in one group) to close to 1 (many small groups). It measures how mixed a country is, not which groups live there. The groups are those each country's own sources use, so where the lines are drawn differs from country to country. Yearly from 1945 to 2013, so the latest value is from 2013. No "better" direction is set.

How this was computed

Data used: most recent value in 2010-2025; values come from 2010–2025. To adjust for income, each measure is first predicted from GDP per person (in percentage terms, on a log scale) with a straight-line fit. Only what is left over is then compared. This is called a partial correlation. The line is drawn the standard way (ordinary least squares), which picks the line that comes closest to all the countries at once. The error margins allow for countries in the same region resembling each other, using 7 World Bank regions. The q-value corrects for testing all 13,797 pairs at once, using the Benjamini–Hochberg method. Underlying data last updated DYB 2024. How the country data works · explore Education score and Ethnic diversity

This page shows that two measures go together. It does not show that Education score changes Ethnic diversity, or the reverse. These figures also describe countries, not individual people. See the ecological fallacy.

More links with Education score or Ethnic diversity