placestats

Corruption Perceptions Index vs. Migrant share of population

Fades after adjusting for income

Across 174 countries, Corruption Perceptions Index and Migrant share of population rise and fall together at r = +0.51 (on a scale from −1 to +1, where 0 means no link). Comparing only countries with similar income (GDP per person) shrinks it to +0.18, which could easily be chance (q = 0.13, allowing for the many pairs tested, and allowing for countries in the same region being alike). So the first figure mostly shows richer countries differing from poorer ones, not a link between these two things. Caution: direction is not consistent across regions.

Comparing countries across the middle half of corruption perceptions index, 30 to 57 points, migrant share of population is 9.84% of population higher at the top of that range than the bottom. Comparing only countries with similar national income, the gap is 3.98% of population.

Link before adjusting (r)+0.507p = 9.4e-13 · 174 countries
After adjusting for national income+0.178p = 0.019 · likely range [+0.03, +0.32]
p, allowing for regions0.029standard error 0.063 · 7 regions
Check for luck (q)0.134across 12,497 pairs

How to read these.r runs from −1 (one goes up as the other goes down) to +1 (they rise together), and 0 means no link. Adjusting for national income means comparing countries with the same GDP per person, so differences in wealth can’t explain the link. Income is used in percentage terms, since an extra $1,000 means more to a poor country than to a rich one. p is how likely a link this strong would be if there were really none. Below 0.05 means it is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 1.1e-32 means a decimal point followed by 31 zeros and then 11, so very close to zero. The likely range is where the true figure probably lies, and a range that crosses zero means the link could easily be chance. Countries in the same region tend to resemble each other, so the third figure allows for that, which gives a fairer p. The standard error is the typical size of the error in r. Finally, testing this many pairs means some will look strong by luck alone. A q below 0.05 means this link is unlikely to be one of those.

Corruption Perceptions Index · index (0-100, higher = cleaner)link with income +0.72 · high
Migrant share of population · % of populationlink with income +0.73 · high

Both of these rise and fall closely with national income, so a strong link between them before adjusting was close to certain. Read the adjusted figure, not the first one.

“Link with income” is how closely each measure tracks GDP per person across countries, from −1 to +1.

Every country as a dot

Corruption Perceptions Index · index (0-100, higher = cleaner) →Migrant share of population · % of population →9900.1%76.7%Afghanistan: 17 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.2% of populationAngola: 32 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.8% of populationAlbania: 42 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.7% of populationUnited Arab Emirates: 68 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 74% of populationArgentina: 37 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.3% of populationArmenia: 47 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 9.2% of populationAustralia: 77 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 30.4% of populationAustria: 67 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 25.5% of populationAzerbaijan: 22 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.1% of populationBurundi: 17 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.8% of populationBelgium: 69 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 20% of populationBenin: 45 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.9% of populationBurkina Faso: 41 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 3.1% of populationBangladesh: 23 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.7% of populationBulgaria: 43 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.4% of populationBahrain: 53 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 52.3% of populationBahamas, The: 65 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 16.8% of populationBosnia and Herzegovina: 33 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.1% of populationBelarus: 33 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 11.6% of populationBolivia: 28 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.5% of populationBrazil: 34 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.7% of populationBarbados: 68 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 12.5% of populationBrunei Darussalam: 60 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 25.9% of populationBhutan: 72 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 7% of populationBotswana: 57 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.6% of populationCentral African Republic: 24 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.8% of populationCanada: 75 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 22.2% of populationSwitzerland: 81 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 31.1% of populationChile: 63 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 7.8% of populationChina: 43 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.1% of populationCote d'Ivoire: 45 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 9% of populationCameroon: 26 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.2% of populationCongo, Dem. Rep.: 20 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1% of populationCongo, Rep.: 23 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 6.1% of populationColombia: 39 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 5.8% of populationComoros: 21 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.4% of populationCabo Verde: 62 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 3.1% of populationCosta Rica: 58 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 12.2% of populationCyprus: 56 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 14.9% of populationCzechia: 56 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 9.5% of populationGermany: 75 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 19.8% of populationDjibouti: 31 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 10.8% of populationDominica: 60 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 12.7% of populationDenmark: 90 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 14.2% of populationDominican Republic: 36 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 6.5% of populationAlgeria: 34 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.6% of populationEcuador: 32 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.1% of populationEgypt, Arab Rep.: 30 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1% of populationSpain: 56 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 18.5% of populationEstonia: 76 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 14.9% of populationEthiopia: 37 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.9% of populationFinland: 88 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 9.2% of populationFiji: 55 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.5% of populationFrance: 67 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 13.8% of populationGabon: 27 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 17.7% of populationUnited Kingdom: 71 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 17.1% of populationGeorgia: 53 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.1% of populationGhana: 42 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.5% of populationGuinea: 28 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.8% of populationGambia, The: 38 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 8.6% of populationGuinea-Bissau: 21 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.7% of populationEquatorial Guinea: 13 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 13.2% of populationGreece: 49 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 14.2% of populationGrenada: 56 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 6.3% of populationGuatemala: 25 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.5% of populationGuyana: 39 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 6.5% of populationHong Kong SAR, China: 74 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 41.3% of populationHonduras: 22 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.4% of populationCroatia: 47 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 13.6% of populationHaiti: 16 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.2% of populationHungary: 41 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 7.1% of populationIndonesia: 37 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.2% of populationIndia: 38 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.3% of populationIreland: 77 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 23.1% of populationIran, Islamic Rep.: 23 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.2% of populationIraq: 26 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.8% of populationIceland: 77 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 25.1% of populationIsrael: 64 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 22.3% of populationItaly: 54 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 11% of populationJamaica: 44 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.8% of populationJordan: 49 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 45.7% of populationJapan: 71 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.8% of populationKazakhstan: 40 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 10.1% of populationKenya: 32 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.8% of populationKyrgyz Republic: 25 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.7% of populationCambodia: 21 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.5% of populationKorea, Rep.: 64 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 3.5% of populationKuwait: 46 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 67.3% of populationLao PDR: 33 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.7% of populationLebanon: 22 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 24.5% of populationLiberia: 27 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.3% of populationLibya: 13 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 12.2% of populationSt. Lucia: 59 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.5% of populationSri Lanka: 32 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.2% of populationLesotho: 37 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.6% of populationLithuania: 63 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 6.1% of populationLuxembourg: 81 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 51.2% of populationLatvia: 59 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 11.8% of populationMorocco: 37 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.3% of populationMoldova: 43 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 6.2% of populationMadagascar: 26 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.1% of populationMaldives: 38 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 14.2% of populationMexico: 26 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.3% of populationNorth Macedonia: 40 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 8.3% of populationMali: 27 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.2% of populationMalta: 46 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 37% of populationMyanmar: 16 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.1% of populationMontenegro: 46 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 14.4% of populationMongolia: 33 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.6% of populationMozambique: 25 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1% of populationMauritania: 30 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 3.8% of populationMauritius: 51 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.3% of populationMalawi: 34 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.9% of populationMalaysia: 50 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 10.7% of populationNamibia: 49 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 3.8% of populationNiger: 34 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.7% of populationNigeria: 26 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.6% of populationNicaragua: 14 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.6% of populationNetherlands: 78 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 16.2% of populationNorway: 81 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 18.2% of populationNepal: 34 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.6% of populationNew Zealand: 83 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 28.2% of populationOman: 55 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 43.2% of populationPakistan: 27 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.7% of populationPanama: 33 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 10.6% of populationPeru: 31 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 5.4% of populationPhilippines: 33 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.1% of populationPapua New Guinea: 31 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.3% of populationPoland: 53 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.5% of populationPuerto Rico (US): 63 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 6.9% of populationPortugal: 57 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 10.8% of populationParaguay: 24 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.6% of populationQatar: 59 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 76.7% of populationRomania: 46 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 3.4% of populationRussian Federation: 22 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 5.3% of populationRwanda: 57 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 3.6% of populationSaudi Arabia: 59 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 40.3% of populationSudan: 15 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.8% of populationSenegal: 45 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.5% of populationSingapore: 84 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 48.7% of populationSolomon Islands: 43 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.3% of populationSierra Leone: 33 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.6% of populationEl Salvador: 30 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.7% of populationSomalia, Fed. Rep.: 9 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.4% of populationSerbia: 35 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 10.6% of populationSao Tome and Principe: 45 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.8% of populationSuriname: 40 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 8.2% of populationSlovak Republic: 49 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 5.9% of populationSlovenia: 60 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 14.9% of populationSweden: 80 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 21.4% of populationEswatini: 27 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.7% of populationSeychelles: 72 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 10.2% of populationSyrian Arab Republic: 12 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 3.6% of populationChad: 21 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 6.3% of populationTogo: 32 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 3% of populationThailand: 34 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.4% of populationTajikistan: 19 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.6% of populationTurkmenistan: 17 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.6% of populationTimor-Leste: 44 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.6% of populationTrinidad and Tobago: 41 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 7.5% of populationTunisia: 39 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.5% of populationTurkiye: 34 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 8.1% of populationTanzania: 41 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.7% of populationUganda: 26 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.1% of populationUkraine: 35 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 13.4% of populationUruguay: 76 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.7% of populationUnited States: 65 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 15.2% of populationUzbekistan: 32 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 3.2% of populationSt. Vincent and the Grenadines: 63 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.8% of populationViet Nam: 40 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 0.3% of populationVanuatu: 50 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1% of populationSouth Africa: 41 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 4.1% of populationZambia: 39 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 1.2% of populationZimbabwe: 21 index (0-100, higher = cleaner), 2.6% of populationAREDNKFINKWTLUXMMRNICQATSOMURY

best-fit line line after adjusting

Four ways to measure the link

MethodrpCountries
Standard (Pearson), not adjusted+0.5079.4e-13174
By rank (Spearman), not adjusted+0.6094.8e-19174
Standard (Pearson), adjusted for national income+0.1780.019174
By rank (Spearman), adjusted for national income+0.1730.023174

The rank version uses only each country’s place in line, from lowest to highest, so a few extreme countries count for less. The adjusted and unadjusted versions use the same 174 countries: those that report both measures and GDP per person. So the gap between them comes from the adjustment, not from a change in which countries are counted. Drop in the size of r after adjusting: +0.329 (a minus sign means it grew).

How solid is it?

Leaving out one country at a time, r ranges from +0.166 (without SGP) to +0.212 (without KWT). The bar above shows that range on a scale from −1 to +1, with the solid line at the full result. The single country that moves r most: KWT (+0.034).

Fragile: this link may not hold up.
  • direction is not consistent across regions

Within each region

Countries are not separate, unrelated cases, and neighbors share a lot. A link that holds inside each region is far more believable than one that shows up only when comparing regions.

nr
East Asia & Pacific22+0.50
Europe & Central Asia48+0.28
Latin America & Caribbean29+0.48
Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan21+0.33
Sub-Saharan Africa46-0.25

By income third

If the link shows up only in the richest third of countries, it is a feature of rich countries, not a general pattern.

nr
Poorest third58+0.07
Middle third58+0.12
Richest third58-0.08

By largest religious group

Countries grouped by a label they share, such as main religion, rather than by a number. Groups of fewer than twelve countries are not shown. These groups differ in income, region and history all at once. So a gap between them is a place to start asking questions, not an answer.

nr
Christians104+0.31
Muslims48+0.46

By last european coloniser

Countries grouped by a label they share, such as main religion, rather than by a number. Groups of fewer than twelve countries are not shown. These groups differ in income, region and history all at once. So a gap between them is a place to start asking questions, not an answer.

nr
France25-0.23
Never a European colony21+0.22
Spain19-0.21
United Kingdom55+0.06

Without outliers (countries far outside the middle half of countries on either measure, by more than one and a half times the width of that middle half): r = +0.296 after dropping 13 countries.

Two series, one country

Both measures over the years for one country you pick. The two charts are stacked so they share only the years along the bottom.

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Over time, within countries

Everything above compares countries with each other at one moment. This section compares each country only with itself over 0years. So a link here can’t come from anything about a country that stays the same, such as its history, geography, institutions or culture.

Not enough history inside each country to look at this over time. That needs countries measured for several years in a row, and at least one of these measures is measured too rarely.

The data


index (0-100, higher = cleaner)

% of population
Years
Denmark DNK9014.2%2024
Finland FIN889.2%2024
Singapore SGP8448.7%2024
New Zealand NZL8328.2%2024
Norway NOR8118.2%2024
Luxembourg LUX8151.2%2024
Switzerland CHE8131.1%2024
Sweden SWE8021.4%2024
Netherlands NLD7816.2%2024
Iceland ISL7725.1%2024
Ireland IRL7723.1%2024
Australia AUS7730.4%2024
Uruguay URY764.7%2024
Estonia EST7614.9%2024
Germany DEU7519.8%2024

Transparency International, Corruption Perceptions Index
World Bank, World Development Indicators
One of these measures is published under a licence that forbids changes. Values are shown exactly as published and must not be republished in a changed or rescaled form.

Sources

Corruption Perceptions Index

Corruption Perceptions Index

Transparency International · via Our World in Data · CC BY-ND 4.0 · updated annual · comparable from 2012 only

Measures how corrupt the public sector is believed to be, based on 13 surveys of experts and business people. Some of the same surveys feed the Worldwide Governance Indicators' Control of Corruption measure, so the two share ingredients.

Migrant share of population

International migrant stock (% of population)

UN Population Division, International Migrant Stock · CC BY 4.0 · updated quarterly

People living outside the country they were born in, as a share of the population. It counts people at one moment, while the net migration already on the site counts moves over a year. Published every five years until 2020, and for 2024.

How this was computed

Data used: most recent value in 2010-2025; values come from 2014–2024. To adjust for income, each measure is first predicted from GDP per person (in percentage terms, on a log scale) with a straight-line fit. Only what is left over is then compared. This is called a partial correlation. The line is drawn the standard way (ordinary least squares), which picks the line that comes closest to all the countries at once. The error margins allow for countries in the same region resembling each other, using 7 World Bank regions. The q-value corrects for testing all 12,497 pairs at once, using the Benjamini–Hochberg method. Underlying data last updated DYB 2024. How the country data works · explore Corruption Perceptions Index and Migrant share of population

This page shows that two measures go together. It does not show that Corruption Perceptions Index changes Migrant share of population, or the reverse. These figures also describe countries, not individual people. See the ecological fallacy.

More links with Corruption Perceptions Index or Migrant share of population