placestats

Birth registration vs. Gender Inequality Index

Fades after adjusting for income

Across 154 countries, Birth registration and Gender Inequality Index rise and fall together at r = -0.68 (on a scale from −1 to +1, where 0 means no link). Comparing only countries with similar income (GDP per person) shrinks it to -0.21, which could easily be chance (q = 0.24, allowing for the many pairs tested, and allowing for countries in the same region being alike). So the first figure mostly shows richer countries differing from poorer ones, not a link between these two things.

Comparing countries across the middle half of gender inequality index, 0.127 to 0.5 points, birth registration is worse by 28.7% of children under 5 at the top of that range than the bottom. Comparing only countries with similar national income, the gap is 13.4% of children under 5.

Link before adjusting (r)-0.676p = 6.4e-22 · 154 countries
After adjusting for national income-0.208p = 0.010 · likely range [-0.35, -0.05]
p, allowing for regions0.013standard error 0.060 · 7 regions
Check for luck (q)0.236across 12,497 pairs

How to read these.r runs from −1 (one goes up as the other goes down) to +1 (they rise together), and 0 means no link. Adjusting for national income means comparing countries with the same GDP per person, so differences in wealth can’t explain the link. Income is used in percentage terms, since an extra $1,000 means more to a poor country than to a rich one. p is how likely a link this strong would be if there were really none. Below 0.05 means it is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 1.1e-32 means a decimal point followed by 31 zeros and then 11, so very close to zero. The likely range is where the true figure probably lies, and a range that crosses zero means the link could easily be chance. Countries in the same region tend to resemble each other, so the third figure allows for that, which gives a fairer p. The standard error is the typical size of the error in r. Finally, testing this many pairs means some will look strong by luck alone. A q below 0.05 means this link is unlikely to be one of those.

Birth registration · % of children under 5link with income +0.87 · proxy
Gender Inequality Index · index, 0 to 1link with income -0.89 · proxy

Both of these rise and fall closely with national income, so a strong link between them before adjusting was close to certain. Read the adjusted figure, not the first one.

“Link with income” is how closely each measure tracks GDP per person across countries, from −1 to +1.

Every country as a dot

Birth registration · % of children under 5 →Gender Inequality Index · index, 0 to 1 →2.7%100%0.0030.677Afghanistan: 42.3% of children under 5, 0.661 index, 0 to 1Angola: 25% of children under 5, 0.515 index, 0 to 1Albania: 98.4% of children under 5, 0.107 index, 0 to 1United Arab Emirates: 100% of children under 5, 0.04 index, 0 to 1Argentina: 99.7% of children under 5, 0.264 index, 0 to 1Armenia: 99.3% of children under 5, 0.18 index, 0 to 1Australia: 100% of children under 5, 0.056 index, 0 to 1Austria: 100% of children under 5, 0.033 index, 0 to 1Burundi: 83.5% of children under 5, 0.501 index, 0 to 1Belgium: 100% of children under 5, 0.031 index, 0 to 1Benin: 85.6% of children under 5, 0.573 index, 0 to 1Burkina Faso: 76.9% of children under 5, 0.555 index, 0 to 1Bangladesh: 56% of children under 5, 0.487 index, 0 to 1Bulgaria: 100% of children under 5, 0.208 index, 0 to 1Bahrain: 100% of children under 5, 0.165 index, 0 to 1Belarus: 100% of children under 5, 0.08 index, 0 to 1Belize: 95.7% of children under 5, 0.428 index, 0 to 1Bolivia: 91.9% of children under 5, 0.419 index, 0 to 1Brazil: 96.4% of children under 5, 0.39 index, 0 to 1Barbados: 98.7% of children under 5, 0.297 index, 0 to 1Brunei Darussalam: 99.9% of children under 5, 0.257 index, 0 to 1Bhutan: 99.9% of children under 5, 0.278 index, 0 to 1Botswana: 87.5% of children under 5, 0.49 index, 0 to 1Canada: 100% of children under 5, 0.052 index, 0 to 1Switzerland: 100% of children under 5, 0.01 index, 0 to 1Chile: 99.4% of children under 5, 0.102 index, 0 to 1Cote d'Ivoire: 71.7% of children under 5, 0.589 index, 0 to 1Cameroon: 61.9% of children under 5, 0.558 index, 0 to 1Congo, Dem. Rep.: 40.1% of children under 5, 0.604 index, 0 to 1Congo, Rep.: 95.9% of children under 5, 0.565 index, 0 to 1Colombia: 96.8% of children under 5, 0.393 index, 0 to 1Comoros: 87.3% of children under 5, 0.501 index, 0 to 1Cabo Verde: 91.4% of children under 5, 0.298 index, 0 to 1Costa Rica: 99.6% of children under 5, 0.217 index, 0 to 1Cyprus: 100% of children under 5, 0.252 index, 0 to 1Czechia: 100% of children under 5, 0.088 index, 0 to 1Germany: 100% of children under 5, 0.057 index, 0 to 1Denmark: 100% of children under 5, 0.003 index, 0 to 1Dominican Republic: 92.2% of children under 5, 0.417 index, 0 to 1Algeria: 99.6% of children under 5, 0.443 index, 0 to 1Ecuador: 87.2% of children under 5, 0.358 index, 0 to 1Egypt, Arab Rep.: 99.4% of children under 5, 0.398 index, 0 to 1Spain: 100% of children under 5, 0.043 index, 0 to 1Estonia: 100% of children under 5, 0.061 index, 0 to 1Ethiopia: 2.7% of children under 5, 0.497 index, 0 to 1Finland: 100% of children under 5, 0.021 index, 0 to 1Fiji: 86.6% of children under 5, 0.35 index, 0 to 1France: 100% of children under 5, 0.034 index, 0 to 1Gabon: 89.6% of children under 5, 0.505 index, 0 to 1United Kingdom: 100% of children under 5, 0.083 index, 0 to 1Georgia: 98.5% of children under 5, 0.257 index, 0 to 1Ghana: 70.6% of children under 5, 0.514 index, 0 to 1Guinea: 62% of children under 5, 0.609 index, 0 to 1Gambia, The: 59% of children under 5, 0.578 index, 0 to 1Guinea-Bissau: 46% of children under 5, 0.632 index, 0 to 1Greece: 100% of children under 5, 0.103 index, 0 to 1Guatemala: 96.4% of children under 5, 0.48 index, 0 to 1Guyana: 98.1% of children under 5, 0.427 index, 0 to 1Honduras: 97% of children under 5, 0.437 index, 0 to 1Croatia: 100% of children under 5, 0.074 index, 0 to 1Haiti: 84.8% of children under 5, 0.618 index, 0 to 1Hungary: 100% of children under 5, 0.213 index, 0 to 1Indonesia: 77% of children under 5, 0.423 index, 0 to 1India: 89.1% of children under 5, 0.403 index, 0 to 1Ireland: 100% of children under 5, 0.054 index, 0 to 1Iran, Islamic Rep.: 98.6% of children under 5, 0.482 index, 0 to 1Iraq: 98.8% of children under 5, 0.558 index, 0 to 1Iceland: 100% of children under 5, 0.024 index, 0 to 1Israel: 100% of children under 5, 0.08 index, 0 to 1Italy: 100% of children under 5, 0.043 index, 0 to 1Jamaica: 98% of children under 5, 0.358 index, 0 to 1Jordan: 98% of children under 5, 0.433 index, 0 to 1Japan: 100% of children under 5, 0.059 index, 0 to 1Kazakhstan: 99.7% of children under 5, 0.182 index, 0 to 1Kenya: 66.9% of children under 5, 0.526 index, 0 to 1Kyrgyz Republic: 98.9% of children under 5, 0.34 index, 0 to 1Cambodia: 73.3% of children under 5, 0.506 index, 0 to 1Lao PDR: 73% of children under 5, 0.475 index, 0 to 1Lebanon: 98.9% of children under 5, 0.36 index, 0 to 1Liberia: 66.3% of children under 5, 0.646 index, 0 to 1St. Lucia: 92% of children under 5, 0.327 index, 0 to 1Lesotho: 44.5% of children under 5, 0.534 index, 0 to 1Lithuania: 100% of children under 5, 0.07 index, 0 to 1Luxembourg: 100% of children under 5, 0.044 index, 0 to 1Latvia: 100% of children under 5, 0.117 index, 0 to 1Morocco: 96.9% of children under 5, 0.438 index, 0 to 1Moldova: 99.6% of children under 5, 0.146 index, 0 to 1Madagascar: 73.8% of children under 5, 0.584 index, 0 to 1Maldives: 98.8% of children under 5, 0.309 index, 0 to 1Mexico: 97% of children under 5, 0.358 index, 0 to 1North Macedonia: 99.8% of children under 5, 0.112 index, 0 to 1Mali: 86.7% of children under 5, 0.612 index, 0 to 1Malta: 100% of children under 5, 0.111 index, 0 to 1Myanmar: 81.3% of children under 5, 0.478 index, 0 to 1Montenegro: 99.4% of children under 5, 0.121 index, 0 to 1Mongolia: 99.6% of children under 5, 0.284 index, 0 to 1Mozambique: 55% of children under 5, 0.479 index, 0 to 1Mauritania: 44.8% of children under 5, 0.603 index, 0 to 1Malawi: 67.2% of children under 5, 0.581 index, 0 to 1Namibia: 78.1% of children under 5, 0.448 index, 0 to 1Niger: 63.9% of children under 5, 0.591 index, 0 to 1Nigeria: 42.6% of children under 5, 0.677 index, 0 to 1Nicaragua: 84.7% of children under 5, 0.408 index, 0 to 1Netherlands: 100% of children under 5, 0.013 index, 0 to 1Norway: 100% of children under 5, 0.004 index, 0 to 1Nepal: 77.2% of children under 5, 0.487 index, 0 to 1New Zealand: 100% of children under 5, 0.082 index, 0 to 1Oman: 100% of children under 5, 0.222 index, 0 to 1Pakistan: 42.2% of children under 5, 0.536 index, 0 to 1Panama: 96.7% of children under 5, 0.374 index, 0 to 1Peru: 96.4% of children under 5, 0.34 index, 0 to 1Philippines: 91.8% of children under 5, 0.351 index, 0 to 1Papua New Guinea: 13.4% of children under 5, 0.584 index, 0 to 1Poland: 100% of children under 5, 0.081 index, 0 to 1Portugal: 100% of children under 5, 0.076 index, 0 to 1Paraguay: 71% of children under 5, 0.412 index, 0 to 1Qatar: 100% of children under 5, 0.195 index, 0 to 1Romania: 100% of children under 5, 0.227 index, 0 to 1Russian Federation: 100% of children under 5, 0.169 index, 0 to 1Rwanda: 85.6% of children under 5, 0.394 index, 0 to 1Saudi Arabia: 99.2% of children under 5, 0.228 index, 0 to 1Sudan: 67.3% of children under 5, 0.588 index, 0 to 1Senegal: 78.7% of children under 5, 0.49 index, 0 to 1Singapore: 99.9% of children under 5, 0.031 index, 0 to 1Solomon Islands: 88% of children under 5, 0.478 index, 0 to 1Sierra Leone: 90.4% of children under 5, 0.566 index, 0 to 1El Salvador: 91.2% of children under 5, 0.362 index, 0 to 1Somalia, Fed. Rep.: 5.9% of children under 5, 0.675 index, 0 to 1Serbia: 99.9% of children under 5, 0.117 index, 0 to 1Sao Tome and Principe: 98.6% of children under 5, 0.492 index, 0 to 1Suriname: 98.3% of children under 5, 0.391 index, 0 to 1Slovak Republic: 100% of children under 5, 0.176 index, 0 to 1Slovenia: 100% of children under 5, 0.042 index, 0 to 1Sweden: 100% of children under 5, 0.007 index, 0 to 1Eswatini: 53.5% of children under 5, 0.484 index, 0 to 1Chad: 25.7% of children under 5, 0.67 index, 0 to 1Togo: 82.9% of children under 5, 0.564 index, 0 to 1Thailand: 99.8% of children under 5, 0.288 index, 0 to 1Tajikistan: 95.8% of children under 5, 0.258 index, 0 to 1Timor-Leste: 60.4% of children under 5, 0.394 index, 0 to 1Tonga: 97.7% of children under 5, 0.444 index, 0 to 1Trinidad and Tobago: 96.5% of children under 5, 0.262 index, 0 to 1Tunisia: 99.9% of children under 5, 0.238 index, 0 to 1Turkiye: 98.4% of children under 5, 0.227 index, 0 to 1Tanzania: 26.4% of children under 5, 0.504 index, 0 to 1Uganda: 32.2% of children under 5, 0.524 index, 0 to 1Uruguay: 99.8% of children under 5, 0.218 index, 0 to 1United States: 100% of children under 5, 0.169 index, 0 to 1Viet Nam: 96.1% of children under 5, 0.299 index, 0 to 1Vanuatu: 43.4% of children under 5, 0.556 index, 0 to 1Samoa: 66.9% of children under 5, 0.416 index, 0 to 1South Africa: 88.6% of children under 5, 0.388 index, 0 to 1Zambia: 14% of children under 5, 0.524 index, 0 to 1Zimbabwe: 48.7% of children under 5, 0.519 index, 0 to 1COGDNKETHIRQMLINORPNGSOMSWEZMB

best-fit line line after adjusting

Four ways to measure the link

MethodrpCountries
Standard (Pearson), not adjusted-0.6766.4e-22154
By rank (Spearman), not adjusted-0.8962.4e-55154
Standard (Pearson), adjusted for national income-0.2080.010154
By rank (Spearman), adjusted for national income-0.5072.2e-11154

The rank version uses only each country’s place in line, from lowest to highest, so a few extreme countries count for less. The adjusted and unadjusted versions use the same 154 countries: those that report both measures and GDP per person. So the gap between them comes from the adjustment, not from a change in which countries are counted. Drop in the size of r after adjusting: +0.469 (a minus sign means it grew).

How solid is it?

Leaving out one country at a time, r ranges from -0.237 (without ETH) to -0.177 (without NGA). The bar above shows that range on a scale from −1 to +1, with the solid line at the full result. The single country that moves r most: NGA (+0.030).

Within each region

Countries are not separate, unrelated cases, and neighbors share a lot. A link that holds inside each region is far more believable than one that shows up only when comparing regions.

nr
East Asia & Pacific20-0.41
Europe & Central Asia43-0.03
Latin America & Caribbean25-0.26
Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan17+0.02
Sub-Saharan Africa42-0.26

By income third

If the link shows up only in the richest third of countries, it is a feature of rich countries, not a general pattern.

nr
Poorest third52-0.38
Middle third51-0.23
Richest third51-0.59

By largest religious group

Countries grouped by a label they share, such as main religion, rather than by a number. Groups of fewer than twelve countries are not shown. These groups differ in income, region and history all at once. So a gap between them is a place to start asking questions, not an answer.

nr
Christians99-0.14
Muslims39-0.44

By last european coloniser

Countries grouped by a label they share, such as main religion, rather than by a number. Groups of fewer than twelve countries are not shown. These groups differ in income, region and history all at once. So a gap between them is a place to start asking questions, not an answer.

nr
France22-0.50
Never a European colony16-0.18
Spain18-0.26
United Kingdom48-0.20

Without outliers (countries far outside the middle half of countries on either measure, by more than one and a half times the width of that middle half): r = -0.229 after dropping 13 countries.

Two series, one country

Both measures over the years for one country you pick. The two charts are stacked so they share only the years along the bottom.

Loading…

Over time, within countries

Everything above compares countries with each other at one moment. This section compares each country only with itself over 0years. So a link here can’t come from anything about a country that stays the same, such as its history, geography, institutions or culture.

Not enough history inside each country to look at this over time. That needs countries measured for several years in a row, and at least one of these measures is measured too rarely.

The data


% of children under 5

index, 0 to 1
Years
United States USA100%0.1692022, 2023
Sweden SWE100%0.0072022, 2023
Slovenia SVN100%0.0422022, 2023
Slovak Republic SVK100%0.1762020, 2023
Russian Federation RUS100%0.1692022, 2023
Romania ROU100%0.2272020, 2023
Qatar QAT100%0.1952020, 2023
Portugal PRT100%0.0762020, 2023
Poland POL100%0.0812017, 2023
Oman OMN100%0.2222018, 2023
New Zealand NZL100%0.0822022, 2023
Norway NOR100%0.0042022, 2023
Netherlands NLD100%0.0132022, 2023
Malta MLT100%0.1112022, 2023
Latvia LVA100%0.1172022, 2023

World Bank, World Development Indicators
United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Report 2025

Sources

Birth registration

Completeness of birth registration (%)

UNICEF · CC BY 4.0 · updated quarterly

A measure of how far the state reaches: whether it knows a child exists. Based on surveys and sparse. It is near 100 across the rich world, so all the variation is at the other end.

Gender Inequality Index

Gender Inequality Index

United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Report Office · via Our World in Data · CC BY 3.0 IGO · updated annual

Built from deaths in childbirth, births to teenagers, seats in parliament, secondary schooling, and the share of women and men in the workforce. Five of those inputs are on the site and flagged. It is kept out of the gender score, for the same reason the HDI is kept out of the economy score.

How this was computed

Data used: most recent value in 2010-2025; values come from 2010–2023. To adjust for income, each measure is first predicted from GDP per person (in percentage terms, on a log scale) with a straight-line fit. Only what is left over is then compared. This is called a partial correlation. The line is drawn the standard way (ordinary least squares), which picks the line that comes closest to all the countries at once. The error margins allow for countries in the same region resembling each other, using 7 World Bank regions. The q-value corrects for testing all 12,497 pairs at once, using the Benjamini–Hochberg method. Underlying data last updated DYB 2024. How the country data works · explore Birth registration and Gender Inequality Index

This page shows that two measures go together. It does not show that Birth registration changes Gender Inequality Index, or the reverse. These figures also describe countries, not individual people. See the ecological fallacy.

More links with Birth registration or Gender Inequality Index