Life satisfaction vs. Participatory democracy
Holds up after adjusting for income
Across 157 countries, Life satisfaction and Participatory democracy rise and fall together at r = +0.55 (on a scale from −1 to +1, where 0 means no link). Comparing only countries with similar income (GDP per person) shrinks it to +0.28 (q = 0.034, allowing for the many pairs tested). Much of the first figure is that both measures rise with national income, but a weak positive link remains.
Comparing countries across the middle half of participatory democracy, 0.132 to 0.493 points, life satisfaction is better by 1.19 points at the top of that range than the bottom. Comparing only countries with similar national income, the gap is 0.419 points.
Link before adjusting (r)+0.548p = 1.1e-13 · 157 countries
After adjusting for national income+0.282p = 0.000 · likely range [+0.13, +0.42]
p, allowing for regions0.012standard error 0.080 · 7 regions
Check for luck (q)0.034across 12,497 pairs
How to read these.r runs from −1 (one goes up as the other goes down) to +1 (they rise together), and 0 means no link. Adjusting for national income means comparing countries with the same GDP per person, so differences in wealth can’t explain the link. Income is used in percentage terms, since an extra $1,000 means more to a poor country than to a rich one. p is how likely a link this strong would be if there were really none. Below 0.05 means it is unlikely to be chance. Very small values are written in short form: 1.1e-32 means a decimal point followed by 31 zeros and then 11, so very close to zero. The likely range is where the true figure probably lies, and a range that crosses zero means the link could easily be chance. Countries in the same region tend to resemble each other, so the third figure allows for that, which gives a fairer p. The standard error is the typical size of the error in r. Finally, testing this many pairs means some will look strong by luck alone. A q below 0.05 means this link is unlikely to be one of those.
Life satisfaction · score (0-10)link with income +0.81 · proxy
Participatory democracy · index (0-1)link with income +0.47 · moderate
“Link with income” is how closely each measure tracks GDP per person across countries, from −1 to +1.
Every country as a dot
best-fit line line after adjusting
Four ways to measure the link
| Method | r | p | Countries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (Pearson), not adjusted | +0.548 | 1.1e-13 | 157 |
| By rank (Spearman), not adjusted | +0.546 | 1.5e-13 | 157 |
| Standard (Pearson), adjusted for national income | +0.282 | 0.000 | 157 |
| By rank (Spearman), adjusted for national income | +0.291 | 0.000 | 157 |
The rank version uses only each country’s place in line, from lowest to highest, so a few extreme countries count for less. The adjusted and unadjusted versions use the same 157 countries: those that report both measures and GDP per person. So the gap between them comes from the adjustment, not from a change in which countries are counted. Drop in the size of r after adjusting: +0.265 (a minus sign means it grew).
How solid is it?
Leaving out one country at a time, r ranges from +0.264 (without HKG) to +0.306 (without LKA). The bar above shows that range on a scale from −1 to +1, with the solid line at the full result. The single country that moves r most: LKA (+0.023).
Within each region
Countries are not separate, unrelated cases, and neighbors share a lot. A link that holds inside each region is far more believable than one that shows up only when comparing regions.
| n | r | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| East Asia & Pacific | 16 | +0.45 | |
| Europe & Central Asia | 49 | +0.42 | |
| Latin America & Caribbean | 22 | +0.23 | |
| Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan | 21 | +0.24 | |
| Sub-Saharan Africa | 41 | +0.11 |
By income third
If the link shows up only in the richest third of countries, it is a feature of rich countries, not a general pattern.
| n | r | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Poorest third | 53 | +0.10 | |
| Middle third | 52 | +0.27 | |
| Richest third | 52 | +0.49 |
By largest religious group
Countries grouped by a label they share, such as main religion, rather than by a number. Groups of fewer than twelve countries are not shown. These groups differ in income, region and history all at once. So a gap between them is a place to start asking questions, not an answer.
| n | r | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Christians | 89 | +0.33 | |
| Muslims | 47 | +0.11 |
By last european coloniser
Countries grouped by a label they share, such as main religion, rather than by a number. Groups of fewer than twelve countries are not shown. These groups differ in income, region and history all at once. So a gap between them is a place to start asking questions, not an answer.
| n | r | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| France | 25 | +0.03 | |
| Never a European colony | 21 | +0.05 | |
| Spain | 18 | +0.08 | |
| United Kingdom | 44 | +0.20 |
Without outliers (countries far outside the middle half of countries on either measure, by more than one and a half times the width of that middle half): r = +0.282 after dropping 1 countries.
Two series, one country
Both measures over the years for one country you pick. The two charts are stacked so they share only the years along the bottom.
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Over time, within countries
Everything above compares countries with each other at one moment. This section compares each country only with itself over 15years. So a link here can’t come from anything about a country that stays the same, such as its history, geography, institutions or culture.
Within countries over time, there is no link that is clearly more than chance (r = -0.018, comparing each country only with itself over the years, and each year only with the same year elsewhere). Whatever the cross-country picture shows, countries whose life satisfaction moved did not tend to see their participatory democracy move with it.
Across countries (adjusted)+0.282for comparison
Within countries-0.075each country vs itself
…and vs the same year elsewhere-0.018q = 0.851 · 156 countries
Year-on-year changes-0.017q = 0.733
Read with care.
- Almost all of this indicator's variation is between countries, not within them, so the within-country estimate rests on a small part of the data.
2,067 country-years (one country in one year), 156 countries, 2011–2025, about 13 years each on average. Share of the variation that happens within countries over time: 4% for Life satisfaction, 9% for Participatory democracy. The margins of error allow for each country appearing many times, and for each year’s value being close to the year before.
Year-to-year changes are a cautious test, not a final answer. Looking only at changes from one year to the next removes each country’s own trends. But it also makes measurement mistakes louder, which pulls the results toward zero. A near-zero result here is weak evidence of no link, not proof.
With one measure years behind the other
Same year (lag 0): -0.018. A peak away from zero does not show which comes first. These series change slowly — this year’s value is close to last year’s. That makes the curve smooth and nearly symmetric, whatever produced the data. Even a sharp peak at one lag (a gap of some years) would not prove that one measure changes the other.
The largest value on this curve (-0.09 at lag +5) is higher than the same-year one by 0.07. That gap is not a finding. It is the largest of 20 closely related estimates, and picking the biggest of many tests always makes it look bigger. That is exactly why nothing on this site is ranked or chosen by lag.
The data
score (0-10) | index (0-1) | Years | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finland FIN | 7.76 | 0.597 | 2025 |
| Iceland ISL | 7.54 | 0.565 | 2025 |
| Denmark DNK | 7.54 | 0.7 | 2025 |
| Costa Rica CRI | 7.44 | 0.606 | 2025 |
| Sweden SWE | 7.25 | 0.635 | 2025 |
| Norway NOR | 7.24 | 0.638 | 2025 |
| Netherlands NLD | 7.22 | 0.553 | 2025 |
| Israel ISR | 7.19 | 0.455 | 2025 |
| Luxembourg LUX | 7.06 | 0.556 | 2025 |
| Switzerland CHE | 7.02 | 0.785 | 2025 |
| New Zealand NZL | 7 | 0.581 | 2025 |
| Mexico MEX | 6.97 | 0.337 | 2025 |
| Ireland IRL | 6.93 | 0.619 | 2025 |
| Belgium BEL | 6.93 | 0.633 | 2025 |
| Australia AUS | 6.92 | 0.648 | 2025 |
Helliwell, J. et al., World Happiness Report; underlying data Gallup World Poll
Coppedge, M. et al., V-Dem Dataset, Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Project
Sources
Life satisfaction
Life satisfaction (Cantril ladder score)
Gallup / World Happiness Report · via Our World in Data · CC BY 4.0 · updated annual
The national average answer to the "Cantril ladder" question: "Please imagine a ladder, with steps numbered from 0 at the bottom to 10 at the top...". It is a direct survey measure, not a combined index. The six factors the World Happiness Report uses to explain the ladder are not part of it. Values are usually three-year rolling averages of the Gallup World Poll. So each year's value overlaps with the next, and they are not separate readings.
Participatory democracy
Participatory democracy index
V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg · via Our World in Data · CC BY 4.0 · updated annual
Electoral democracy plus direct participation: people's involvement in civic groups, referendums, and elected local and regional government.
How this was computed
Data used: most recent value in 2010-2025; values come from 2011–2025. To adjust for income, each measure is first predicted from GDP per person (in percentage terms, on a log scale) with a straight-line fit. Only what is left over is then compared. This is called a partial correlation. The line is drawn the standard way (ordinary least squares), which picks the line that comes closest to all the countries at once. The error margins allow for countries in the same region resembling each other, using 7 World Bank regions. The q-value corrects for testing all 12,497 pairs at once, using the Benjamini–Hochberg method. Underlying data last updated DYB 2024. How the country data works · explore Life satisfaction and Participatory democracy
This page shows that two measures go together. It does not show that Life satisfaction changes Participatory democracy, or the reverse. These figures also describe countries, not individual people. See the ecological fallacy.
More links with Life satisfaction or Participatory democracy
- Participatory democracy vs Women's political empowerment before +0.79 → after adjusting +0.74
- Participatory democracy vs Rule of law before +0.73 → after adjusting +0.64
- Participatory democracy vs Political corruption before -0.71 → after adjusting -0.59
- Gender score vs Participatory democracy before +0.63 → after adjusting +0.56
- Participatory democracy vs Women's age at first marriage before +0.61 → after adjusting +0.48
- Health spending vs Participatory democracy before +0.54 → after adjusting +0.47
- Participatory democracy vs Political stability before +0.56 → after adjusting +0.37
- Anaemia in women vs Participatory democracy before -0.54 → after adjusting -0.32